{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}U:\Egne papers\Mechanisms paper\BJPS\Final submission and replication files\Replication data harverad dataverse\Log file, Seeberg MB, 2019, bjps.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}14 Jul 2019, 21:08:29

{com}. do "C:\Users\au196598\AppData\Local\Temp\STD3c08_000000.tmp"
{txt}
{com}. *Seeberg, MB. 2019.
. 
. use "U:\Data\Seeberg, MB. 2019. replication data..dta"
{txt}(cow_milper / cow_tpop)

{com}. 
. *Table 1
. 
. *vote
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.21204}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.19936}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.09976}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.09973}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.09973}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-168.09973
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-163.81351
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-160.18299
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.02524
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-154.24879
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-151.81868
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-149.74657
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-148.10897
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-147.26912

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -148.2203}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-141.41446}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.78344}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.76175}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -140.7617}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.76165}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.76165}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    13.83
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-140.76165{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0862

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1629926{col 31}{space 2} .0736411{col 42}{space 1}    2.21{col 51}{space 3}0.027{col 59}{space 4} .0186586{col 72}{space 3} .3073265
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.8302924{col 31}{space 2} .6333472{col 42}{space 1}   -1.31{col 51}{space 3}0.190{col 59}{space 4} -2.07163{col 72}{space 3} .4110454
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.894722{col 31}{space 2} 3.080809{col 42}{space 1}    2.89{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 2.856447{col 72}{space 3}   14.933
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0372299{col 31}{space 2} .1507998{col 42}{space 1}    0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.805{col 59}{space 4}-.2583323{col 72}{space 3} .3327922
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -1.06592{col 31}{space 2} .7508245{col 42}{space 1}   -1.42{col 51}{space 3}0.156{col 59}{space 4}-2.537509{col 72}{space 3} .4056687
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0383511{col 31}{space 2} .0986107{col 42}{space 1}   -0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.697{col 59}{space 4}-.2316245{col 72}{space 3} .1549224
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0018849{col 31}{space 2} .0032353{col 42}{space 1}    0.58{col 51}{space 3}0.560{col 59}{space 4}-.0044561{col 72}{space 3} .0082259
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000214{col 31}{space 2} .0000304{col 42}{space 1}   -0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.480{col 59}{space 4}-.0000809{col 72}{space 3} .0000381
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-9.429077{col 31}{space 2} 7.978093{col 42}{space 1}   -1.18{col 51}{space 3}0.237{col 59}{space 4}-25.06585{col 72}{space 3} 6.207697
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  2.20647{col 31}{space 2} .5699047{col 59}{space 4} 1.089477{col 72}{space 3} 3.323463
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 3.013901{col 31}{space 2} .8588181{col 59}{space 4} 1.724158{col 72}{space 3} 5.268425
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7341191{col 31}{space 2} .1112387{col 59}{space 4} .4746792{col 72}{space 3} .8940331
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-164.07847}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.58178}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.86259}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.86119}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-127.86119}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-127.86119
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-126.13372
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-124.62929
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.31598
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-122.20336
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-121.33877
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-120.82363
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-120.86492

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-120.83691}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-118.11651}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-117.99437}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -117.9935}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -117.9935}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       242
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        70

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    21.54
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res} -117.9935{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0176

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:70} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}        v8lgparty60{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0935169{col 33}{space 2} .0452975{col 44}{space 1}    2.06{col 53}{space 3}0.039{col 61}{space 4} .0047355{col 74}{space 3} .1822984
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.8936419{col 33}{space 2} .5856389{col 44}{space 1}   -1.53{col 53}{space 3}0.127{col 61}{space 4}-2.041473{col 74}{space 3} .2541892
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 9.309922{col 33}{space 2} 3.725606{col 44}{space 1}    2.50{col 53}{space 3}0.012{col 61}{space 4} 2.007868{col 74}{space 3} 16.61198
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1619639{col 33}{space 2} .1442342{col 44}{space 1}    1.12{col 53}{space 3}0.261{col 61}{space 4}  -.12073{col 74}{space 3} .4446579
{txt}{space 10}majoritar {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.7936282{col 33}{space 2} .5536054{col 44}{space 1}   -1.43{col 53}{space 3}0.152{col 61}{space 4}-1.878675{col 74}{space 3} .2914185
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.933208{col 33}{space 2} .9585948{col 44}{space 1}    3.06{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4} 1.054396{col 74}{space 3} 4.812019
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.7891082{col 33}{space 2} .6067149{col 44}{space 1}   -1.30{col 53}{space 3}0.193{col 61}{space 4}-1.978248{col 74}{space 3} .4000312
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.078836{col 33}{space 2} .1318316{col 44}{space 1}   -0.60{col 53}{space 3}0.550{col 61}{space 4}-.3372212{col 74}{space 3} .1795491
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0021345{col 33}{space 2} .0039814{col 44}{space 1}    0.54{col 53}{space 3}0.592{col 61}{space 4}-.0056689{col 74}{space 3}  .009938
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000205{col 33}{space 2} .0000351{col 44}{space 1}   -0.58{col 53}{space 3}0.559{col 61}{space 4}-.0000894{col 74}{space 3} .0000483
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-2.968089{col 33}{space 2} 5.798074{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.609{col 61}{space 4} -14.3321{col 74}{space 3} 8.395926
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.277694{col 33}{space 2} .5460306{col 61}{space 4} .2074937{col 74}{space 3} 2.347894
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.894295{col 33}{space 2} .5171716{col 61}{space 4}  1.10932{col 74}{space 3} 3.234735
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .521698{col 33}{space 2} .1362506{col 61}{space 4} .2722268{col 74}{space 3} .7607957
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. clogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce (cluster gwno) group(gwno)
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 46 groups (120 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-51.701238}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-44.664596}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.824134}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.674852}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.673545}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.673545}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional (fixed-effects) logistic regression

{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       150
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}    136.69
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-42.673545{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2997

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:25} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5404327{col 31}{space 2} .1808044{col 42}{space 1}    2.99{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4} .1860627{col 72}{space 3} .8948027
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.3393237{col 31}{space 2} .8822367{col 42}{space 1}   -0.38{col 51}{space 3}0.701{col 59}{space 4}-2.068476{col 72}{space 3} 1.389828
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 11.85454{col 31}{space 2} 3.791318{col 42}{space 1}    3.13{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4} 4.423688{col 72}{space 3} 19.28538
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0309621{col 31}{space 2} .1693242{col 42}{space 1}   -0.18{col 51}{space 3}0.855{col 59}{space 4}-.3628314{col 72}{space 3} .3009071
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.544733{col 31}{space 2} .8794968{col 42}{space 1}   -4.03{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-5.268516{col 72}{space 3}-1.820951
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0512877{col 31}{space 2} .0971408{col 42}{space 1}   -0.53{col 51}{space 3}0.598{col 59}{space 4}-.2416801{col 72}{space 3} .1391048
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0007064{col 31}{space 2} .0032919{col 42}{space 1}    0.21{col 51}{space 3}0.830{col 59}{space 4}-.0057455{col 72}{space 3} .0071584
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000122{col 31}{space 2} .0000289{col 42}{space 1}   -0.42{col 51}{space 3}0.673{col 59}{space 4}-.0000688{col 72}{space 3} .0000444
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtreg v8v2ellovtlg v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        71

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.1485                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.0225                                         {txt}avg = {res}       3.8
{txt}     overall = {res}0.0530                                         {txt}max = {res}        18

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      =  {res}    16.91
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0311

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     v8v2ellovtlg{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3493525{col 31}{space 2} .1751847{col 42}{space 1}    1.99{col 51}{space 3}0.046{col 59}{space 4} .0059968{col 72}{space 3} .6927081
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-4.107238{col 31}{space 2} 2.594534{col 42}{space 1}   -1.58{col 51}{space 3}0.113{col 59}{space 4}-9.192431{col 72}{space 3} .9779553
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 22.30156{col 31}{space 2}  11.1733{col 42}{space 1}    2.00{col 51}{space 3}0.046{col 59}{space 4} .4022908{col 72}{space 3} 44.20083
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0817464{col 31}{space 2} .6873015{col 42}{space 1}   -0.12{col 51}{space 3}0.905{col 59}{space 4}-1.428833{col 72}{space 3}  1.26534
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.160918{col 31}{space 2}  2.94659{col 42}{space 1}   -0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.694{col 59}{space 4}-6.936129{col 72}{space 3} 4.614293
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1481897{col 31}{space 2} .3774651{col 42}{space 1}    0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.695{col 59}{space 4}-.5916283{col 72}{space 3} .8880077
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0049028{col 31}{space 2} .0132401{col 42}{space 1}    0.37{col 51}{space 3}0.711{col 59}{space 4}-.0210473{col 72}{space 3} .0308528
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0001118{col 31}{space 2} .0001288{col 42}{space 1}   -0.87{col 51}{space 3}0.385{col 59}{space 4}-.0003642{col 72}{space 3} .0001406
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 51.50756{col 31}{space 2} 25.70077{col 42}{space 1}    2.00{col 51}{space 3}0.045{col 59}{space 4} 1.134981{col 72}{space 3} 101.8801
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} 13.221934
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} 12.064557
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .54567486{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. *seat
. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.55365}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-196.32835}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -196.0796}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-196.07899}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-196.07899}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.07899
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-191.31087
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-187.22161
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.67635
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-180.60207
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.98655
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-175.89747
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.55866
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.66099

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.57229}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.40044}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.36344}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.36341}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.36341}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    29.97
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-171.36341{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0002

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1153501{col 31}{space 2} .0369196{col 42}{space 1}    3.12{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4} .0429889{col 72}{space 3} .1877112
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.185084{col 31}{space 2} .4530926{col 42}{space 1}   -2.62{col 51}{space 3}0.009{col 59}{space 4}-2.073129{col 72}{space 3}-.2970389
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.440496{col 31}{space 2} 2.049958{col 42}{space 1}    2.65{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4} 1.422651{col 72}{space 3}  9.45834
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1159816{col 31}{space 2} .1093975{col 42}{space 1}    1.06{col 51}{space 3}0.289{col 59}{space 4}-.0984334{col 72}{space 3} .3303967
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6579308{col 31}{space 2} .4581522{col 42}{space 1}    1.44{col 51}{space 3}0.151{col 59}{space 4}-.2400309{col 72}{space 3} 1.555893
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0318013{col 31}{space 2} .0809491{col 42}{space 1}   -0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.694{col 59}{space 4}-.1904586{col 72}{space 3} .1268559
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0035554{col 31}{space 2} .0025174{col 42}{space 1}    1.41{col 51}{space 3}0.158{col 59}{space 4}-.0013787{col 72}{space 3} .0084895
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000393{col 31}{space 2} .0000204{col 42}{space 1}   -1.92{col 51}{space 3}0.055{col 59}{space 4}-.0000793{col 72}{space 3} 8.01e-07
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.210932{col 31}{space 2} 3.882871{col 42}{space 1}   -0.57{col 51}{space 3}0.569{col 59}{space 4} -9.82122{col 72}{space 3} 5.399356
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.434673{col 31}{space 2} .4328327{col 59}{space 4} .5863364{col 72}{space 3}  2.28301
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.048969{col 31}{space 2} .4434303{col 59}{space 4} 1.340668{col 72}{space 3} 3.131477
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5606562{col 31}{space 2} .1066157{col 59}{space 4} .3533123{col 72}{space 3} .7487887
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.66199}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-146.97234}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-146.43247}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -146.4321}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -146.4321}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -146.4321
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.25846
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-142.10576
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-139.99807
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.97414
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-136.09599
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.47778
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.36022
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.33401

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.31739}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.90922}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.57355}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -128.571}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:  -128.571}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.57099}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       284
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        85

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.3
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    28.12
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-128.57099{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0017

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:85} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}    v8lagpartseat60{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1339006{col 33}{space 2}  .046733{col 44}{space 1}    2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4} .0423057{col 74}{space 3} .2254956
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.924445{col 33}{space 2} .6265307{col 44}{space 1}   -3.07{col 53}{space 3}0.002{col 61}{space 4}-3.152423{col 74}{space 3}-.6964673
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 9.185208{col 33}{space 2}  3.19918{col 44}{space 1}    2.87{col 53}{space 3}0.004{col 61}{space 4}  2.91493{col 74}{space 3} 15.45549
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1746987{col 33}{space 2} .1482517{col 44}{space 1}    1.18{col 53}{space 3}0.239{col 61}{space 4}-.1158694{col 74}{space 3} .4652667
{txt}{space 10}majoritar {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8450288{col 33}{space 2} .6512609{col 44}{space 1}    1.30{col 53}{space 3}0.194{col 61}{space 4}-.4314191{col 74}{space 3} 2.121477
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   2.6652{col 33}{space 2} 1.034471{col 44}{space 1}    2.58{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .6376745{col 74}{space 3} 4.692726
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.091018{col 33}{space 2} .6493493{col 44}{space 1}   -1.68{col 53}{space 3}0.093{col 61}{space 4} -2.36372{col 74}{space 3} .1816829
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2267646{col 33}{space 2} .1081529{col 44}{space 1}   -2.10{col 53}{space 3}0.036{col 61}{space 4}-.4387404{col 74}{space 3}-.0147887
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0082042{col 33}{space 2} .0031913{col 44}{space 1}    2.57{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .0019493{col 74}{space 3} .0144591
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000705{col 33}{space 2} .0000256{col 44}{space 1}   -2.75{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}-.0001208{col 74}{space 3}-.0000203
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.680656{col 33}{space 2} 5.201904{col 44}{space 1}    0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.606{col 61}{space 4}-7.514889{col 74}{space 3}  12.8762
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.866913{col 33}{space 2} .4241778{col 61}{space 4}  1.03554{col 74}{space 3} 2.698287
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 2.543285{col 33}{space 2} .5394026{col 61}{space 4} 1.678281{col 74}{space 3} 3.854122
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6628601{col 33}{space 2} .0947938{col 61}{space 4}  .461251{col 74}{space 3} .8186814
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. clogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce (cluster gwno) group(gwno)
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 51 groups (138 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-57.127266}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-53.885576}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-53.388612}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-53.381167}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-53.381165}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional (fixed-effects) logistic regression

{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       195
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     46.91
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-53.381165{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2598

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:37} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2411609{col 31}{space 2} .1088713{col 42}{space 1}    2.22{col 51}{space 3}0.027{col 59}{space 4}  .027777{col 72}{space 3} .4545448
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9197667{col 31}{space 2}  .820661{col 42}{space 1}   -1.12{col 51}{space 3}0.262{col 59}{space 4}-2.528233{col 72}{space 3} .6886993
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.904384{col 31}{space 2} 2.446736{col 42}{space 1}    2.41{col 51}{space 3}0.016{col 59}{space 4}  1.10887{col 72}{space 3}  10.6999
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .001865{col 31}{space 2} .2325732{col 42}{space 1}    0.01{col 51}{space 3}0.994{col 59}{space 4}-.4539702{col 72}{space 3} .4577002
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.380172{col 31}{space 2} 1.220799{col 42}{space 1}   -1.13{col 51}{space 3}0.258{col 59}{space 4}-3.772895{col 72}{space 3} 1.012551
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0779916{col 31}{space 2} .0942622{col 42}{space 1}   -0.83{col 51}{space 3}0.408{col 59}{space 4}-.2627422{col 72}{space 3}  .106759
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .004845{col 31}{space 2} .0029452{col 42}{space 1}    1.65{col 51}{space 3}0.100{col 59}{space 4}-.0009274{col 72}{space 3} .0106175
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000552{col 31}{space 2} .0000221{col 42}{space 1}   -2.50{col 51}{space 3}0.012{col 59}{space 4}-.0000984{col 72}{space 3}-.0000119
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtreg v8v2ellostsl v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        88

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.2058                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.0299                                         {txt}avg = {res}       3.8
{txt}     overall = {res}0.1235                                         {txt}max = {res}        18

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      =  {res}    44.26
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     v8v2ellostsl{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6081973{col 31}{space 2} .1735362{col 42}{space 1}    3.50{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .2680725{col 72}{space 3} .9483221
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-4.510075{col 31}{space 2} 2.846102{col 42}{space 1}   -1.58{col 51}{space 3}0.113{col 59}{space 4}-10.08833{col 72}{space 3} 1.068183
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 14.02526{col 31}{space 2} 11.82735{col 42}{space 1}    1.19{col 51}{space 3}0.236{col 59}{space 4}-9.155928{col 72}{space 3} 37.20645
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1699045{col 31}{space 2} .6093807{col 42}{space 1}   -0.28{col 51}{space 3}0.780{col 59}{space 4}-1.364269{col 72}{space 3}  1.02446
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 3.394008{col 31}{space 2} 2.629892{col 42}{space 1}    1.29{col 51}{space 3}0.197{col 59}{space 4}-1.760487{col 72}{space 3} 8.548502
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7680319{col 31}{space 2}  .380497{col 42}{space 1}    2.02{col 51}{space 3}0.044{col 59}{space 4} .0222714{col 72}{space 3} 1.513792
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0075037{col 31}{space 2} .0114017{col 42}{space 1}   -0.66{col 51}{space 3}0.510{col 59}{space 4}-.0298507{col 72}{space 3} .0148432
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000344{col 31}{space 2} .0001013{col 42}{space 1}   -0.34{col 51}{space 3}0.734{col 59}{space 4}-.0002328{col 72}{space 3} .0001641
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 30.33036{col 31}{space 2} 24.59744{col 42}{space 1}    1.23{col 51}{space 3}0.218{col 59}{space 4}-17.87973{col 72}{space 3} 78.54044
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} 16.623281
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} 14.030574
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .58397936{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. 
. 
. *Figure 2
. *predicted probabilities plot
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57(10)100)) 
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}67}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}77}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}87}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}97}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0250814{col 26}{space 2} .0322179{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-.0380644{col 67}{space 3} .0882273
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0638874{col 26}{space 2} .0515884{col 37}{space 1}    1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.216{col 54}{space 4} -.037224{col 67}{space 3} .1649989
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1396869{col 26}{space 2}  .060175{col 37}{space 1}    2.32{col 46}{space 3}0.020{col 54}{space 4} .0217462{col 67}{space 3} .2576277
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2611866{col 26}{space 2} .0505785{col 37}{space 1}    5.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1620546{col 67}{space 3} .3603187
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4227173{col 26}{space 2} .0547459{col 37}{space 1}    7.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3154174{col 67}{space 3} .5300172
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, level(90) recast(scatter) title("Votes") ytitle("predicted probability of 60%") xtitle("state territorial control") saving (predprob60ofvote)
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: v8terr3yearav{p_end}
{res}{txt}(file predprob60ofvote.gph saved)

{com}. 
. quietly xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57(10)100)) 
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       333
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}67}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}77}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}87}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:5._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}97}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0904502{col 26}{space 2} .0667339{col 37}{space 1}    1.36{col 46}{space 3}0.175{col 54}{space 4}-.0403458{col 67}{space 3} .2212463
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1704739{col 26}{space 2} .0780216{col 37}{space 1}    2.18{col 46}{space 3}0.029{col 54}{space 4} .0175544{col 67}{space 3} .3233935
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2867784{col 26}{space 2} .0709787{col 37}{space 1}    4.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1476628{col 67}{space 3}  .425894
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .431951{col 26}{space 2}  .050064{col 37}{space 1}    8.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3338273{col 67}{space 3} .5300747
{txt}{space 10}5  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5871778{col 26}{space 2} .0462182{col 37}{space 1}   12.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4965917{col 67}{space 3} .6777639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. marginsplot, level(90) recast(scatter) title("Seats") ytitle("predicted probability of 60%") xtitle("state territorial control") saving (predprob60ofseat)
{res}
{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: v8terr3yearav{p_end}
{res}{txt}(file predprob60ofseat.gph saved)

{com}. 
. gr combine "predprob60ofvote" "predprob60ofseat", iscale(1) ycommon 
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *Table 2
. *media bias
. xtlogit nelda16_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-279.04965}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-256.38255}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-256.08727}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-256.08439}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-256.08439}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-256.08439
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-252.27267
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-249.39509
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-247.26143
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-245.80629
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-245.06283
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-245.19308

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-245.06597}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.51822}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.51185}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.51185}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       413
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.7
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    25.82
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-243.51185{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0005

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     nelda16_summ{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0379794{col 31}{space 2} .0227766{col 42}{space 1}    1.67{col 51}{space 3}0.095{col 59}{space 4}-.0066619{col 72}{space 3} .0826208
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3334696{col 31}{space 2} .2464508{col 42}{space 1}    1.35{col 51}{space 3}0.176{col 59}{space 4}-.1495651{col 72}{space 3} .8165043
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.752123{col 31}{space 2} 1.721182{col 42}{space 1}    1.60{col 51}{space 3}0.110{col 59}{space 4}-.6213326{col 72}{space 3} 6.125578
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1845386{col 31}{space 2} .0639152{col 42}{space 1}    2.89{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} .0592671{col 72}{space 3} .3098102
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .015969{col 31}{space 2} .0647253{col 42}{space 1}    0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.805{col 59}{space 4}-.1108903{col 72}{space 3} .1428284
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0009728{col 31}{space 2} .0020404{col 42}{space 1}   -0.48{col 51}{space 3}0.634{col 59}{space 4}-.0049719{col 72}{space 3} .0030263
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.00e-06{col 31}{space 2} .0000171{col 42}{space 1}    0.29{col 51}{space 3}0.770{col 59}{space 4}-.0000285{col 72}{space 3} .0000385
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-6.818711{col 31}{space 2} 2.623179{col 42}{space 1}   -2.60{col 51}{space 3}0.009{col 59}{space 4}-11.96005{col 72}{space 3}-1.677376
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3738336{col 31}{space 2} .3768665{col 59}{space 4}-.3648111{col 72}{space 3} 1.112478
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.205527{col 31}{space 2} .2271614{col 59}{space 4} .8332633{col 72}{space 3} 1.744101
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3063979{col 31}{space 2}  .080091{col 59}{space 4} .1742705{col 72}{space 3} .4804178
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit nelda16_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-262.06374}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.39334}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.08656}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.08321}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-243.08321}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-243.08321
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-239.57942
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-236.91826
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-234.92314
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-233.53319
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-232.77515
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-232.78682

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-232.78139}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.10388}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.08976}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.08975}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       390
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.4
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    24.89
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-231.08975{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0031

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}       nelda16_summ{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0446669{col 33}{space 2} .0247295{col 44}{space 1}    1.81{col 53}{space 3}0.071{col 61}{space 4}-.0038019{col 74}{space 3} .0931358
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3160572{col 33}{space 2} .2653172{col 44}{space 1}    1.19{col 53}{space 3}0.234{col 61}{space 4} -.203955{col 74}{space 3} .8360695
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.960043{col 33}{space 2}  1.70882{col 44}{space 1}    1.15{col 53}{space 3}0.251{col 61}{space 4}-1.389182{col 74}{space 3} 5.309269
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1764926{col 33}{space 2} .0649183{col 44}{space 1}    2.72{col 53}{space 3}0.007{col 61}{space 4}  .049255{col 74}{space 3} .3037301
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1068213{col 33}{space 2} .4002675{col 44}{space 1}   -0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.790{col 61}{space 4}-.8913313{col 74}{space 3} .6776886
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.4552879{col 33}{space 2} .3806987{col 44}{space 1}   -1.20{col 53}{space 3}0.232{col 61}{space 4}-1.201444{col 74}{space 3} .2908678
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0194387{col 33}{space 2}  .074893{col 44}{space 1}   -0.26{col 53}{space 3}0.795{col 61}{space 4}-.1662262{col 74}{space 3} .1273489
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0001489{col 33}{space 2}  .002311{col 44}{space 1}   -0.06{col 53}{space 3}0.949{col 61}{space 4}-.0046785{col 74}{space 3} .0043807
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-4.95e-07{col 33}{space 2} .0000192{col 44}{space 1}   -0.03{col 53}{space 3}0.979{col 61}{space 4}-.0000381{col 74}{space 3} .0000371
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-6.760687{col 33}{space 2} 2.941121{col 44}{space 1}   -2.30{col 53}{space 3}0.022{col 61}{space 4}-12.52518{col 74}{space 3}-.9961954
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4583227{col 33}{space 2} .4252276{col 61}{space 4}-.3751081{col 74}{space 3} 1.291753
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.257545{col 33}{space 2} .2673714{col 61}{space 4} .8289843{col 74}{space 3} 1.907659
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3246409{col 33}{space 2} .0932308{col 61}{space 4} .1727937{col 74}{space 3} .5252051
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. clogit nelda16_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce (cluster gwno) group(gwno)
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 44 groups (112 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-110.58987}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-106.38913}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-106.25356}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-106.25341}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-106.25341}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional (fixed-effects) logistic regression

{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       280
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     14.51
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0695
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-106.25341{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0738

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:44} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     nelda16_summ{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1075953{col 31}{space 2} .0505346{col 42}{space 1}    2.13{col 51}{space 3}0.033{col 59}{space 4} .0085493{col 72}{space 3} .2066412
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6216574{col 31}{space 2} .6671003{col 42}{space 1}    0.93{col 51}{space 3}0.351{col 59}{space 4}-.6858352{col 72}{space 3}  1.92915
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.168727{col 31}{space 2} 2.231602{col 42}{space 1}    0.97{col 51}{space 3}0.331{col 59}{space 4}-2.205133{col 72}{space 3} 6.542587
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2161993{col 31}{space 2} .1176479{col 42}{space 1}    1.84{col 51}{space 3}0.066{col 59}{space 4}-.0143864{col 72}{space 3} .4467849
{txt}{space 8}gwf_party {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.3725566{col 31}{space 2} 1.128405{col 42}{space 1}   -0.33{col 51}{space 3}0.741{col 59}{space 4} -2.58419{col 72}{space 3} 1.839077
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0187148{col 31}{space 2} .0826466{col 42}{space 1}   -0.23{col 51}{space 3}0.821{col 59}{space 4}-.1806992{col 72}{space 3} .1432696
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0004869{col 31}{space 2} .0026501{col 42}{space 1}   -0.18{col 51}{space 3}0.854{col 59}{space 4}-.0056811{col 72}{space 3} .0047072
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.41e-06{col 31}{space 2} .0000235{col 42}{space 1}    0.23{col 51}{space 3}0.818{col 59}{space 4}-.0000406{col 72}{space 3} .0000514
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *opposition prevented
. xtlogit nelda13_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-225.65628}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-216.45747}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-216.29899}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-216.29891}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-216.29891}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-216.29891
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-213.94136
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-212.31502
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-211.29159
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-210.82118
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-210.93044

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-210.82146}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-208.69104}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-208.67247}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-208.67246}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       415
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        87

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    10.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-208.67246{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1629

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:87} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     nelda13_summ{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .016087{col 31}{space 2}  .022972{col 42}{space 1}    0.70{col 51}{space 3}0.484{col 59}{space 4}-.0289374{col 72}{space 3} .0611113
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5433765{col 31}{space 2} .2463018{col 42}{space 1}    2.21{col 51}{space 3}0.027{col 59}{space 4} .0606338{col 72}{space 3} 1.026119
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.907847{col 31}{space 2} 1.667873{col 42}{space 1}   -1.14{col 51}{space 3}0.253{col 59}{space 4}-5.176818{col 72}{space 3} 1.361124
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0366302{col 31}{space 2} .0715082{col 42}{space 1}   -0.51{col 51}{space 3}0.608{col 59}{space 4}-.1767836{col 72}{space 3} .1035232
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.069036{col 31}{space 2} .0549201{col 42}{space 1}   -1.26{col 51}{space 3}0.209{col 59}{space 4}-.1766775{col 72}{space 3} .0386054
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0015607{col 31}{space 2} .0015669{col 42}{space 1}    1.00{col 51}{space 3}0.319{col 59}{space 4}-.0015103{col 72}{space 3} .0046317
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000124{col 31}{space 2} .0000114{col 42}{space 1}   -1.09{col 51}{space 3}0.275{col 59}{space 4}-.0000347{col 72}{space 3} 9.89e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-6.578491{col 31}{space 2}  2.56821{col 42}{space 1}   -2.56{col 51}{space 3}0.010{col 59}{space 4}-11.61209{col 72}{space 3}-1.544892
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2262466{col 31}{space 2} .4508073{col 59}{space 4}-.6573194{col 72}{space 3} 1.109813
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  1.11977{col 31}{space 2} .2524002{col 59}{space 4} .7198879{col 72}{space 3} 1.741778
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .275958{col 31}{space 2} .0900736{col 59}{space 4} .1360883{col 72}{space 3} .4797524
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit nelda13_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-212.40624}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-201.10806}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.81892}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.81846}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.81846}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-200.81846
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -198.8621
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-197.52996
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.72014
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.39719
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.59242

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-196.39698}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-194.50563}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-194.49366}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-194.49366}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       392
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        87

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    15.32
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-194.49366{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0824

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:87} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}       nelda13_summ{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0091535{col 33}{space 2} .0214233{col 44}{space 1}    0.43{col 53}{space 3}0.669{col 61}{space 4}-.0328355{col 74}{space 3} .0511424
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .5014057{col 33}{space 2} .2507476{col 44}{space 1}    2.00{col 53}{space 3}0.046{col 61}{space 4} .0099494{col 74}{space 3} .9928619
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.916228{col 33}{space 2} 1.660691{col 44}{space 1}   -1.15{col 53}{space 3}0.249{col 61}{space 4}-5.171123{col 74}{space 3} 1.338667
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0649848{col 33}{space 2} .0735417{col 44}{space 1}   -0.88{col 53}{space 3}0.377{col 61}{space 4}-.2091239{col 74}{space 3} .0791543
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6512229{col 33}{space 2} .4630877{col 44}{space 1}   -1.41{col 53}{space 3}0.160{col 61}{space 4}-1.558858{col 74}{space 3} .2564123
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .4724995{col 33}{space 2} .3597917{col 44}{space 1}    1.31{col 53}{space 3}0.189{col 61}{space 4}-.2326793{col 74}{space 3} 1.177678
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0487844{col 33}{space 2} .0588616{col 44}{space 1}   -0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.407{col 61}{space 4} -.164151{col 74}{space 3} .0665822
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0016256{col 33}{space 2} .0016068{col 44}{space 1}    1.01{col 53}{space 3}0.312{col 61}{space 4}-.0015237{col 74}{space 3}  .004775
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0000144{col 33}{space 2} .0000114{col 44}{space 1}   -1.26{col 53}{space 3}0.207{col 61}{space 4}-.0000368{col 74}{space 3} 7.96e-06
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -5.85466{col 33}{space 2} 2.363927{col 44}{space 1}   -2.48{col 53}{space 3}0.013{col 61}{space 4}-10.48787{col 74}{space 3}-1.221449
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1792302{col 33}{space 2} .5246435{col 61}{space 4}-.8490521{col 74}{space 3} 1.207512
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.093753{col 33}{space 2} .2869152{col 61}{space 4} .6540797{col 74}{space 3} 1.828976
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2666635{col 33}{space 2} .1025962{col 61}{space 4}  .115077{col 74}{space 3} .5041661
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. clogit nelda13_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce (cluster gwno) group(gwno)
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 54 groups (161 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-93.254411}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.054524}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.026631}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.026574}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-89.026574}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional (fixed-effects) logistic regression

{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       233
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}      9.18
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.3270
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-89.026574{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0413

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:33} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     nelda13_summ{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0240147{col 31}{space 2} .0524785{col 42}{space 1}    0.46{col 51}{space 3}0.647{col 59}{space 4}-.0788413{col 72}{space 3} .1268707
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .458631{col 31}{space 2} .5452751{col 42}{space 1}    0.84{col 51}{space 3}0.400{col 59}{space 4}-.6100885{col 72}{space 3}  1.52735
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.879524{col 31}{space 2} 1.905319{col 42}{space 1}   -0.99{col 51}{space 3}0.324{col 59}{space 4}-5.613881{col 72}{space 3} 1.854832
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0868302{col 31}{space 2} .0901818{col 42}{space 1}    0.96{col 51}{space 3}0.336{col 59}{space 4}-.0899229{col 72}{space 3} .2635833
{txt}{space 8}gwf_party {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.480548{col 31}{space 2} 1.785175{col 42}{space 1}   -0.83{col 51}{space 3}0.407{col 59}{space 4}-4.979426{col 72}{space 3}  2.01833
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0173252{col 31}{space 2} .0692976{col 42}{space 1}   -0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.803{col 59}{space 4}-.1531459{col 72}{space 3} .1184955
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.000436{col 31}{space 2} .0021337{col 42}{space 1}   -0.20{col 51}{space 3}0.838{col 59}{space 4}-.0046179{col 72}{space 3} .0037459
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.99e-07{col 31}{space 2} .0000157{col 42}{space 1}    0.04{col 51}{space 3}0.965{col 59}{space 4}-.0000301{col 72}{space 3} .0000315
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. *Table 3
. *other irreg
. xtreg v8v2elirreg v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       449
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        91

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.1157                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.0245                                         {txt}avg = {res}       4.9
{txt}     overall = {res}0.0882                                         {txt}max = {res}        18

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      =  {res}    43.00
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:91} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8v2elirreg{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0035521{col 31}{space 2} .0093064{col 42}{space 1}   -0.38{col 51}{space 3}0.703{col 59}{space 4}-.0217922{col 72}{space 3} .0146881
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3486978{col 31}{space 2}   .12983{col 42}{space 1}    2.69{col 51}{space 3}0.007{col 59}{space 4} .0942356{col 72}{space 3}   .60316
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.828431{col 31}{space 2} .4145048{col 42}{space 1}   -2.00{col 51}{space 3}0.046{col 59}{space 4}-1.640846{col 72}{space 3}-.0160165
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0424087{col 31}{space 2} .0363452{col 42}{space 1}   -1.17{col 51}{space 3}0.243{col 59}{space 4} -.113644{col 72}{space 3} .0288266
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  -.04005{col 31}{space 2} .0245214{col 42}{space 1}   -1.63{col 51}{space 3}0.102{col 59}{space 4}-.0881111{col 72}{space 3} .0080112
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0007913{col 31}{space 2} .0008969{col 42}{space 1}    0.88{col 51}{space 3}0.378{col 59}{space 4}-.0009666{col 72}{space 3} .0025492
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.03e-06{col 31}{space 2} 7.37e-06{col 42}{space 1}   -0.41{col 51}{space 3}0.681{col 59}{space 4}-.0000175{col 72}{space 3} .0000114
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.985336{col 31}{space 2} 1.148554{col 42}{space 1}   -2.60{col 51}{space 3}0.009{col 59}{space 4}-5.236461{col 72}{space 3}-.7342104
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} .82311408
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .63972433
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .62342586{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. xtreg v8v2elirreg v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       393
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        88

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.0923                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.1294                                         {txt}avg = {res}       4.5
{txt}     overall = {res}0.1392                                         {txt}max = {res}        18

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      =  {res}    42.05
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}        v8v2elirreg{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0041494{col 33}{space 2}  .008519{col 44}{space 1}   -0.49{col 53}{space 3}0.626{col 61}{space 4}-.0208463{col 74}{space 3} .0125475
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3826259{col 33}{space 2} .1490321{col 44}{space 1}    2.57{col 53}{space 3}0.010{col 61}{space 4} .0905284{col 74}{space 3} .6747234
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.054877{col 33}{space 2} .4365237{col 44}{space 1}   -2.42{col 53}{space 3}0.016{col 61}{space 4}-1.910448{col 74}{space 3}-.1993065
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0361915{col 33}{space 2} .0392106{col 44}{space 1}   -0.92{col 53}{space 3}0.356{col 61}{space 4}-.1130428{col 74}{space 3} .0406599
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2082302{col 33}{space 2} .3868611{col 44}{space 1}    0.54{col 53}{space 3}0.590{col 61}{space 4}-.5500037{col 74}{space 3} .9664641
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .2059917{col 33}{space 2} .1270351{col 44}{space 1}    1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.105{col 61}{space 4}-.0429925{col 74}{space 3} .4549759
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.020793{col 33}{space 2} .0297015{col 44}{space 1}   -0.70{col 53}{space 3}0.484{col 61}{space 4}-.0790068{col 74}{space 3} .0374208
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0002441{col 33}{space 2}  .000999{col 44}{space 1}    0.24{col 53}{space 3}0.807{col 61}{space 4} -.001714{col 74}{space 3} .0022021
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.88e-07{col 33}{space 2} 8.12e-06{col 44}{space 1}    0.10{col 53}{space 3}0.923{col 61}{space 4}-.0000151{col 74}{space 3} .0000167
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -3.48873{col 33}{space 2} 1.268815{col 44}{space 1}   -2.75{col 53}{space 3}0.006{col 61}{space 4}-5.975561{col 74}{space 3}-1.001899
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |} {res} .77026503
            {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .62185946
                {txt}rho {c |} {res}  .6054058{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. xtreg v8v2elirreg v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, fe vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Fixed-effects (within) regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       395
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{txt}{col 49}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}R-sq:{col 49}Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.1433{col 63}{txt}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.0226{col 63}{txt}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.5
{txt}     overall = {res}0.0000{col 63}{txt}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}{col 49}F({res}8{txt},{res}87{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}     5.18
{txt}corr(u_i, Xb){col 16}= {res}-0.4165{txt}{col 49}Prob > F{col 67}={col 73}{res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8v2elirreg{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      t{col 51}   P>|t|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0155616{col 31}{space 2} .0091259{col 42}{space 1}   -1.71{col 51}{space 3}0.092{col 59}{space 4}-.0337003{col 72}{space 3} .0025772
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3402007{col 31}{space 2}    .2121{col 42}{space 1}    1.60{col 51}{space 3}0.112{col 59}{space 4} -.081371{col 72}{space 3} .7617725
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.254384{col 31}{space 2} .4944895{col 42}{space 1}   -2.54{col 51}{space 3}0.013{col 59}{space 4}-2.237235{col 72}{space 3}-.2715324
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0034309{col 31}{space 2} .0454696{col 42}{space 1}    0.08{col 51}{space 3}0.940{col 59}{space 4}-.0869448{col 72}{space 3} .0938067
{txt}{space 8}gwf_party {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2327804{col 31}{space 2} .5794643{col 42}{space 1}   -0.40{col 51}{space 3}0.689{col 59}{space 4}-1.384528{col 72}{space 3} .9189676
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0291861{col 31}{space 2} .0275867{col 42}{space 1}   -1.06{col 51}{space 3}0.293{col 59}{space 4}-.0840176{col 72}{space 3} .0256454
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0001063{col 31}{space 2} .0010799{col 42}{space 1}    0.10{col 51}{space 3}0.922{col 59}{space 4}-.0020402{col 72}{space 3} .0022528
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.81e-06{col 31}{space 2} 8.93e-06{col 42}{space 1}    0.31{col 51}{space 3}0.754{col 59}{space 4}-.0000149{col 72}{space 3} .0000206
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.805597{col 31}{space 2} 1.769394{col 42}{space 1}   -1.02{col 51}{space 3}0.310{col 59}{space 4}-5.322458{col 72}{space 3} 1.711264
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res}  1.180726
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res}  .6249352
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .78116589{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. *domestic monitors
. xtlogit v8v2eldommon v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -263.0378}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-261.56128}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-261.55524}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-261.55524}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-261.55524
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-245.17234
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-233.01104
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-223.36592
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-215.34113
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-208.46397
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-202.45653
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-197.12781
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-192.84784

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-197.20524}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.30896}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.09323}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.86872}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.85727}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.85727}  (backed up)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.83057}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.83054}  
Iteration 8:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.83054}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       436
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        90

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}     9.40
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-171.83054{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.2252

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:90} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     v8v2eldommon{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1316827{col 31}{space 2} .0713571{col 42}{space 1}   -1.85{col 51}{space 3}0.065{col 59}{space 4}-.2715401{col 72}{space 3} .0081746
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5211177{col 31}{space 2}  .629891{col 42}{space 1}    0.83{col 51}{space 3}0.408{col 59}{space 4} -.713446{col 72}{space 3} 1.755681
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.081205{col 31}{space 2} 2.144039{col 42}{space 1}   -0.50{col 51}{space 3}0.614{col 59}{space 4}-5.283444{col 72}{space 3} 3.121035
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}   .21353{col 31}{space 2} .2618863{col 42}{space 1}    0.82{col 51}{space 3}0.415{col 59}{space 4}-.2997577{col 72}{space 3} .7268176
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .010365{col 31}{space 2} .1226777{col 42}{space 1}    0.08{col 51}{space 3}0.933{col 59}{space 4}-.2300789{col 72}{space 3}  .250809
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0010516{col 31}{space 2} .0042147{col 42}{space 1}   -0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.803{col 59}{space 4}-.0093122{col 72}{space 3}  .007209
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0000309{col 31}{space 2} .0000367{col 42}{space 1}    0.84{col 51}{space 3}0.399{col 59}{space 4} -.000041{col 72}{space 3} .0001029
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 10.90508{col 31}{space 2} 6.268573{col 42}{space 1}    1.74{col 51}{space 3}0.082{col 59}{space 4}-1.381092{col 72}{space 3} 23.19126
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  3.33513{col 31}{space 2} .9083729{col 59}{space 4} 1.554751{col 72}{space 3} 5.115508
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.299247{col 31}{space 2} 2.406846{col 59}{space 4} 2.175755{col 72}{space 3} 12.90679
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .8951332{col 31}{space 2} .0852687{col 59}{space 4} .5899851{col 72}{space 3} .9806336
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8v2eldommon v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-234.98165}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.76511}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.73399}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.73399}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-229.73399
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-216.60907
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-206.92628
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-199.24517
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-192.85212
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-187.38964
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-182.64837
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -178.4811
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-175.33437

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-178.62367}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-160.31466}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-157.74448}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.71513}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.70793}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.70793}  (backed up)
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.70203}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.70202}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       381
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        87

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.4
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    15.71
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-156.70202{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0733

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:87} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}       v8v2eldommon{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1264113{col 33}{space 2} .0624134{col 44}{space 1}   -2.03{col 53}{space 3}0.043{col 61}{space 4}-.2487393{col 74}{space 3}-.0040832
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.046369{col 33}{space 2} .6266776{col 44}{space 1}    1.67{col 53}{space 3}0.095{col 61}{space 4}-.1818968{col 74}{space 3} 2.274634
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-1.251552{col 33}{space 2} 2.339306{col 44}{space 1}   -0.54{col 53}{space 3}0.593{col 61}{space 4}-5.836507{col 74}{space 3} 3.333403
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1906203{col 33}{space 2} .2340908{col 44}{space 1}    0.81{col 53}{space 3}0.415{col 61}{space 4}-.2681891{col 74}{space 3} .6494298
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.137001{col 33}{space 2} 1.367666{col 44}{space 1}    0.83{col 53}{space 3}0.406{col 61}{space 4}-1.543576{col 74}{space 3} 3.817578
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.167233{col 33}{space 2} .5605519{col 44}{space 1}   -0.30{col 53}{space 3}0.765{col 61}{space 4}-1.265895{col 74}{space 3} .9314286
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0140215{col 33}{space 2} .1342477{col 44}{space 1}   -0.10{col 53}{space 3}0.917{col 61}{space 4}-.2771421{col 74}{space 3} .2490991
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0008905{col 33}{space 2} .0043295{col 44}{space 1}   -0.21{col 53}{space 3}0.837{col 61}{space 4}-.0093762{col 74}{space 3} .0075952
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0000278{col 33}{space 2}  .000035{col 44}{space 1}    0.79{col 53}{space 3}0.427{col 61}{space 4}-.0000408{col 74}{space 3} .0000964
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 5.958872{col 33}{space 2} 5.234678{col 44}{space 1}    1.14{col 53}{space 3}0.255{col 61}{space 4}-4.300908{col 74}{space 3} 16.21865
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 3.090223{col 33}{space 2}  .681103{col 61}{space 4} 1.755286{col 74}{space 3}  4.42516
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 4.688494{col 33}{space 2} 1.596674{col 61}{space 4} 2.405223{col 74}{space 3} 9.139267
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .8698208{col 33}{space 2}  .077123{col 61}{space 4} .6374788{col 74}{space 3} .9621053
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. clogit v8v2eldommon v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce (cluster gwno) group(gwno)
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 64 groups (216 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-60.984251}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-48.148566}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-45.304189}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-44.102749}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.937404}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.549748}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.545864}  
Iteration 7:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-42.545864}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional (fixed-effects) logistic regression

{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       167
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     25.51
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0013
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-42.545864{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.3578

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:23} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     v8v2eldommon{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2571621{col 31}{space 2}  .111056{col 42}{space 1}   -2.32{col 51}{space 3}0.021{col 59}{space 4}-.4748278{col 72}{space 3}-.0394964
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.322922{col 31}{space 2} .9188808{col 42}{space 1}    1.44{col 51}{space 3}0.150{col 59}{space 4} -.478051{col 72}{space 3} 3.123896
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.533973{col 31}{space 2} 2.188692{col 42}{space 1}   -1.61{col 51}{space 3}0.106{col 59}{space 4}-7.823731{col 72}{space 3} .7557856
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6666033{col 31}{space 2} .2972067{col 42}{space 1}    2.24{col 51}{space 3}0.025{col 59}{space 4} .0840888{col 72}{space 3} 1.249118
{txt}{space 8}gwf_party {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1579351{col 31}{space 2} 1.866951{col 42}{space 1}    0.08{col 51}{space 3}0.933{col 59}{space 4}-3.501222{col 72}{space 3} 3.817092
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2792659{col 31}{space 2} .2029096{col 42}{space 1}    1.38{col 51}{space 3}0.169{col 59}{space 4}-.1184297{col 72}{space 3} .6769614
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0205187{col 31}{space 2}  .011157{col 42}{space 1}   -1.84{col 51}{space 3}0.066{col 59}{space 4}-.0423861{col 72}{space 3} .0013486
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0003903{col 31}{space 2} .0001872{col 42}{space 1}    2.08{col 51}{space 3}0.037{col 59}{space 4} .0000234{col 72}{space 3} .0007572
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *Figure 3
. *coef plot of manip -->victory
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5a
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5b
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5e
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5f
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5g
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5h
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5c
{txt}
{com}. quietly xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. estimates store T5d
{txt}
{com}. 
. coefplot T5a T5e T5g T5c, bylabel(60% votes)   ///
>       || T5b T5d T5h T5f , bylabel(60% seats)  ///
>       ||, drop(_cons LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration) levels(90) xline(0) byopts(xrescale)  mlabcolor(black) mcolor(black) lcolor(black) 
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *Table 4: state cap --> overt manip
. xtlogit nelda33_num v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-258.23499}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-242.11031}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-241.96307}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-241.96305}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-241.96305
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-237.80734
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -234.6695
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-232.34563
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-230.74549
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-229.88033
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-229.86872
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -231.0009

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.88722}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.05172}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.03157}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.03156}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       420
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    14.18
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-229.03156{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0481

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      nelda33_num{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0706149{col 31}{space 2}  .023485{col 42}{space 1}   -3.01{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4}-.1166446{col 72}{space 3}-.0245852
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2157821{col 31}{space 2} .2815441{col 42}{space 1}    0.77{col 51}{space 3}0.443{col 59}{space 4}-.3360342{col 72}{space 3} .7675985
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .9556744{col 31}{space 2} 1.468818{col 42}{space 1}    0.65{col 51}{space 3}0.515{col 59}{space 4}-1.923156{col 72}{space 3} 3.834505
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0469421{col 31}{space 2} .0667917{col 42}{space 1}   -0.70{col 51}{space 3}0.482{col 59}{space 4}-.1778514{col 72}{space 3} .0839673
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0049987{col 31}{space 2} .0578173{col 42}{space 1}   -0.09{col 51}{space 3}0.931{col 59}{space 4}-.1183185{col 72}{space 3} .1083211
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0007521{col 31}{space 2} .0018383{col 42}{space 1}   -0.41{col 51}{space 3}0.682{col 59}{space 4}-.0043551{col 72}{space 3} .0028509
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .000011{col 31}{space 2} .0000155{col 42}{space 1}    0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.479{col 59}{space 4}-.0000194{col 72}{space 3} .0000413
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 3.929518{col 31}{space 2} 2.479324{col 42}{space 1}    1.58{col 51}{space 3}0.113{col 59}{space 4} -.929868{col 72}{space 3} 8.788904
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2883227{col 31}{space 2} .4272487{col 59}{space 4}-.5490694{col 72}{space 3} 1.125715
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  1.15507{col 31}{space 2} .2467512{col 59}{space 4} .7599256{col 72}{space 3} 1.755682
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2885319{col 31}{space 2} .0877061{col 59}{space 4} .1493235{col 72}{space 3} .4837226
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit nelda33_num v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-244.10141}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -228.3278}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-228.17911}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-228.17907}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-228.17907}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-228.17907
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -224.3704
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-221.47942
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-219.30568
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-217.75914
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-216.83952
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-216.63125
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-217.36054

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-216.67092}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-215.58224}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-215.54461}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-215.54456}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-215.54456}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       397
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    14.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-215.54456{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1063

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}        nelda33_num{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0716437{col 33}{space 2}   .02371{col 44}{space 1}   -3.02{col 53}{space 3}0.003{col 61}{space 4}-.1181144{col 74}{space 3} -.025173
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .202389{col 33}{space 2} .3192972{col 44}{space 1}    0.63{col 53}{space 3}0.526{col 61}{space 4}-.4234221{col 74}{space 3} .8282001
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .6968351{col 33}{space 2} 1.531878{col 44}{space 1}    0.45{col 53}{space 3}0.649{col 61}{space 4} -2.30559{col 74}{space 3}  3.69926
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0657424{col 33}{space 2} .0694398{col 44}{space 1}   -0.95{col 53}{space 3}0.344{col 61}{space 4}-.2018419{col 74}{space 3} .0703571
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0116701{col 33}{space 2} .4232262{col 44}{space 1}    0.03{col 53}{space 3}0.978{col 61}{space 4} -.817838{col 74}{space 3} .8411782
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0249378{col 33}{space 2}  .409542{col 44}{space 1}   -0.06{col 53}{space 3}0.951{col 61}{space 4}-.8276255{col 74}{space 3} .7777498
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0164679{col 33}{space 2} .0726952{col 44}{space 1}   -0.23{col 53}{space 3}0.821{col 61}{space 4}-.1589479{col 74}{space 3} .1260121
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003665{col 33}{space 2}  .002196{col 44}{space 1}   -0.17{col 53}{space 3}0.867{col 61}{space 4}-.0046705{col 74}{space 3} .0039376
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.82e-06{col 33}{space 2} .0000178{col 44}{space 1}    0.44{col 53}{space 3}0.660{col 61}{space 4}-.0000271{col 74}{space 3} .0000427
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 4.193314{col 33}{space 2} 2.857888{col 44}{space 1}    1.47{col 53}{space 3}0.142{col 61}{space 4}-1.408043{col 74}{space 3} 9.794671
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 11}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}   .43348{col 33}{space 2} .4549528{col 61}{space 4}-.4582111{col 74}{space 3} 1.325171
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.242021{col 33}{space 2} .2825305{col 61}{space 4} .7952446{col 74}{space 3} 1.939801
{txt}                rho {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .3192181{col 33}{space 2} .0988694{col 61}{space 4} .1612362{col 74}{space 3} .5335305
{txt}{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit nelda33_num v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas e_Civil_War gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-217.82732}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-204.24553}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-204.12779}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-204.12776}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-204.12776}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-204.12776
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-201.35226
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-199.22869
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-197.63978
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.54361
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.96226
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.98379

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.96696}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.13455}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.13033}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.13033}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       352
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        84

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       4.2
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    12.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-195.13033{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1311

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:84} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      nelda33_num{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0526321{col 31}{space 2} .0256147{col 42}{space 1}   -2.05{col 51}{space 3}0.040{col 59}{space 4}-.1028359{col 72}{space 3}-.0024283
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0539791{col 31}{space 2} .3079903{col 42}{space 1}   -0.18{col 51}{space 3}0.861{col 59}{space 4}-.6576291{col 72}{space 3} .5496709
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6898948{col 31}{space 2} 1.683322{col 42}{space 1}    0.41{col 51}{space 3}0.682{col 59}{space 4}-2.609356{col 72}{space 3} 3.989146
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0262556{col 31}{space 2} .0719516{col 42}{space 1}   -0.36{col 51}{space 3}0.715{col 59}{space 4}-.1672782{col 72}{space 3}  .114767
{txt}{space 6}e_Civil_War {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6286296{col 31}{space 2} .6719762{col 42}{space 1}    0.94{col 51}{space 3}0.350{col 59}{space 4}-.6884195{col 72}{space 3} 1.945679
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0060282{col 31}{space 2} .0650473{col 42}{space 1}    0.09{col 51}{space 3}0.926{col 59}{space 4}-.1214621{col 72}{space 3} .1335185
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0009734{col 31}{space 2} .0020379{col 42}{space 1}   -0.48{col 51}{space 3}0.633{col 59}{space 4}-.0049676{col 72}{space 3} .0030208
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0000119{col 31}{space 2} .0000169{col 42}{space 1}    0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.480{col 59}{space 4}-.0000212{col 72}{space 3}  .000045
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 4.287852{col 31}{space 2} 2.872683{col 42}{space 1}    1.49{col 51}{space 3}0.136{col 59}{space 4}-1.342503{col 72}{space 3} 9.918207
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2852675{col 31}{space 2} .4901013{col 59}{space 4}-.6753133{col 72}{space 3} 1.245848
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.153307{col 31}{space 2} .2826187{col 59}{space 4} .7134402{col 72}{space 3} 1.864372
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .2879052{col 31}{space 2} .1004785{col 59}{space 4} .1339866{col 72}{space 3} .5137467
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. clogit nelda33_num v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce (cluster gwno) group(gwno)
{txt}note: multiple positive outcomes within groups encountered.
note: 47 groups (134 obs) dropped because of all positive or
      all negative outcomes.
{res}
{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-103.67599}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-100.72005}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -100.7046}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -100.7046}  
{res}
{txt}Conditional (fixed-effects) logistic regression

{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       265
{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     15.46
{txt}{col 49}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0508
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -100.7046{txt}{col 49}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0398

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:41} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      nelda33_num{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.040432{col 31}{space 2} .0670001{col 42}{space 1}   -0.60{col 51}{space 3}0.546{col 59}{space 4}-.1717497{col 72}{space 3} .0908857
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7668951{col 31}{space 2} .6780566{col 42}{space 1}    1.13{col 51}{space 3}0.258{col 59}{space 4}-.5620714{col 72}{space 3} 2.095861
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6471948{col 31}{space 2} 1.709448{col 42}{space 1}   -0.38{col 51}{space 3}0.705{col 59}{space 4}-3.997652{col 72}{space 3} 2.703262
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1756363{col 31}{space 2} .0752271{col 42}{space 1}   -2.33{col 51}{space 3}0.020{col 59}{space 4}-.3230787{col 72}{space 3}-.0281939
{txt}{space 8}gwf_party {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9072704{col 31}{space 2} .6198857{col 42}{space 1}   -1.46{col 51}{space 3}0.143{col 59}{space 4}-2.122224{col 72}{space 3} .3076832
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0148124{col 31}{space 2} .0742317{col 42}{space 1}    0.20{col 51}{space 3}0.842{col 59}{space 4} -.130679{col 72}{space 3} .1603038
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0012603{col 31}{space 2} .0023472{col 42}{space 1}   -0.54{col 51}{space 3}0.591{col 59}{space 4}-.0058606{col 72}{space 3} .0033401
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0000139{col 31}{space 2} .0000185{col 42}{space 1}    0.75{col 51}{space 3}0.452{col 59}{space 4}-.0000223{col 72}{space 3} .0000502
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *APPENDIX
. 
. *Table B: descriptive statistics
. summ v8terr3yearav v8lgparty60 v8lagpartseat60 v8v2ellovtlg v8v2ellostsl ///
> nelda13_summ ///
> v8v2elfrcamp nelda16_summ v8v2elirreg v8v2eldommon nelda33_num sr13viol if MulParElec4617==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
v8terr3yea~v {c |}{res}        505    91.04543    8.813036   43.95238        100
{txt}{space 1}v8lgparty60 {c |}{res}        324    .3919753    .4889463          0          1
{txt}v8lagpart~60 {c |}{res}        397    .5465995    .4984519          0          1
{txt}v8v2ellovtlg {c |}{res}        324    54.53645    19.36364        5.5       97.7
{txt}v8v2ellostsl {c |}{res}        397    61.65481     22.3765          2        100
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
nelda13_summ {c |}{res}        471    .2441614    .4300456          0          1
{txt}v8v2elfrcamp {c |}{res}        512    .1274011    1.175374  -2.233114   2.633134
{txt}nelda16_summ {c |}{res}        470    .3957447    .4895311          0          1
{txt}{space 1}v8v2elirreg {c |}{res}        512   -1.008323    1.059484   -3.05133   2.361428
{txt}v8v2eldommon {c |}{res}        497    .6700201    .4706792          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 1}nelda33_num {c |}{res}        477    .2976939    .4577242          0          1
{txt}{space 4}sr13viol {c |}{res}        215    1.195349    1.282148          0          3
{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table D1: Predicted probabilities
. *predicted probabilities
. *votes
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8terr3yearav if e(sample)==1, detail

           {txt}Territorial control, three year average
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 68.66666             57
{txt} 5%    {res}     74.2             60
{txt}10%    {res}     79.5       68.66666       {txt}Obs         {res}        270
{txt}25%    {res}     87.6       69.50833       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        270

{txt}50%    {res} 93.59028                      {txt}Mean          {res} 91.73126
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 8.037283
{txt}75%    {res} 98.18182            100
{txt}90%    {res} 99.66666            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 64.59791
{txt}95%    {res} 99.90909            100       {txt}Skewness      {res}-1.333454
{txt}99%    {res}      100            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 4.807469
{txt}
{com}. *min and max
. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0250814{col 26}{space 2} .0322179{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-.0279123{col 67}{space 3} .0780751
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4751748{col 26}{space 2} .0656384{col 37}{space 1}    7.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3672092{col 67}{space 3} .5831404
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}    27.77{col 38}{space 2}   0.0000
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4500934{col 26}{space 2} .0854155{col 37}{space 5} .3095974{col 51}{space 3} .5905893
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *seats
. quietly xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8terr3yearav if e(sample)==1, detail

           {txt}Territorial control, three year average
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 68.33334       56.93333
{txt} 5%    {res} 76.45834             57
{txt}10%    {res} 79.66666             60       {txt}Obs         {res}        333
{txt}25%    {res} 87.66666       68.33334       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        333

{txt}50%    {res} 93.53846                      {txt}Mean          {res} 91.67843
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} 7.901014
{txt}75%    {res}       98            100
{txt}90%    {res} 99.66666            100       {txt}Variance      {res} 62.42602
{txt}95%    {res} 99.88889            100       {txt}Skewness      {res} -1.42499
{txt}99%    {res}      100            100       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 5.458441
{txt}
{com}. *min and max
. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       333
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0904502{col 26}{space 2} .0667339{col 37}{space 1}    1.36{col 46}{space 3}0.175{col 54}{space 4}-.0193172{col 67}{space 3} .2002177
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6321678{col 26}{space 2} .0510352{col 37}{space 1}   12.39{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5482223{col 67}{space 3} .7161134
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}    30.84{col 38}{space 2}   0.0000
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5417176{col 26}{space 2} .0975446{col 37}{space 5}  .381271{col 51}{space 3} .7021642
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *predicted probabilities, state --> media bias
. quietly xtlogit nelda16_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8terr3yearav if e(sample)==1 

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
v8terr3yea~v {c |}{res}        413    91.09619    8.471653   56.93333        100
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       413
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(nelda16_summ=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2287405{col 26}{space 2} .0971065{col 37}{space 1}    2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .0690145{col 67}{space 3} .3884664
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4908156{col 26}{space 2} .0527371{col 37}{space 1}    9.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4040707{col 67}{space 3} .5775604
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit nelda16_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(nelda16_summ=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     3.81{col 38}{space 2}   0.0509
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2620751{col 26}{space 2} .1342337{col 37}{space 5} .0412803{col 51}{space 3} .4828699
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *predicted probabilities, state --> opposition prevented
. quietly xtlogit nelda13_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8terr3yearav if e(sample)==1 

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
v8terr3yea~v {c |}{res}        415    91.00197    8.494867   56.93333        100
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       415
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(nelda13_summ=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1610574{col 26}{space 2} .0946573{col 37}{space 1}    1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}   .00536{col 67}{space 3} .3167548
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2522059{col 26}{space 2} .0359217{col 37}{space 1}    7.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   .19312{col 67}{space 3} .3112919
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit nelda13_summ v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(nelda13_summ=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     0.63{col 38}{space 2}   0.4274
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0911485{col 26}{space 2} .1148554{col 37}{space 5}-.0977718{col 51}{space 3} .2800688
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *predicted probabilities, state --> monitors
. quietly xtlogit v8v2eldommon v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8terr3yearav if e(sample)==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
v8terr3yea~v {c |}{res}        436    91.51347    8.290862   56.93333        100
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       436
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8v2eldommon=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9321583{col 26}{space 2} .0476644{col 37}{space 1}   19.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8537573{col 67}{space 3} 1.010559
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6930884{col 26}{space 2} .0554149{col 37}{space 1}   12.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .6019391{col 67}{space 3} .7842378
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8v2eldommon v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8v2eldommon=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     7.01{col 38}{space 2}   0.0081
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2390699{col 26}{space 2} .0903224{col 37}{space 5} -.387637{col 51}{space 3}-.0905027
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *predicted probabilities, state --> violence
. quietly xtlogit nelda33_num v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8terr3yearav if e(sample)==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
v8terr3yea~v {c |}{res}        420      91.039    8.474543   56.93333        100
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       420
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(nelda33_num=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7366377{col 26}{space 2} .1291917{col 37}{space 1}    5.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5241363{col 67}{space 3} .9491391
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2019353{col 26}{space 2} .0362864{col 37}{space 1}    5.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1422495{col 67}{space 3} .2616212
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit nelda33_num v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(nelda33_num=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}    12.50{col 38}{space 2}   0.0004
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5347024{col 26}{space 2} .1512546{col 37}{space 5}-.7834941{col 51}{space 3}-.2859106
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *Table D2: predicted probabilities
. *pred prob, media bias --> victories
. *votes
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda16_summ=(0 1)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       251
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2969282{col 26}{space 2} .0486875{col 37}{space 1}    6.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2168444{col 67}{space 3}  .377012
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4319663{col 26}{space 2} .0672282{col 37}{space 1}    6.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3213857{col 67}{space 3} .5425469
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda16_summ=(0 1)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     3.65{col 38}{space 2}   0.0562
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1350381{col 26}{space 2} .0707199{col 37}{space 5} .0187142{col 51}{space 3} .2513621
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *seats
. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda16_summ=(0 1)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       299
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4430982{col 26}{space 2} .0516094{col 37}{space 1}    8.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3582083{col 67}{space 3}  .527988
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6084942{col 26}{space 2} .0533624{col 37}{space 1}   11.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5207208{col 67}{space 3} .6962675
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda16_summ=(0 1)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda16_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     7.67{col 38}{space 2}   0.0056
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .165396{col 26}{space 2} .0597044{col 37}{space 5}  .067191{col 51}{space 3}  .263601
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *pred prob, opp prevented --> victories
. *votes
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda13_summ=(0 1)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       255
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3395039{col 26}{space 2} .0470341{col 37}{space 1}    7.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2621396{col 67}{space 3} .4168681
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3785921{col 26}{space 2} .0666732{col 37}{space 1}    5.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2689245{col 67}{space 3} .4882597
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda13_summ=(0 1)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     0.40{col 38}{space 2}   0.5287
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0390882{col 26}{space 2}  .062047{col 37}{space 5}-.0629699{col 51}{space 3} .1411464
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *seats
. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda13_summ=(0 1)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       302
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5192252{col 26}{space 2} .0450784{col 37}{space 1}   11.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4450778{col 67}{space 3} .5933726
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5061399{col 26}{space 2} .0648776{col 37}{space 1}    7.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3994257{col 67}{space 3}  .612854
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(nelda13_summ=(0 1)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:nelda13_summ}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     0.05{col 38}{space 2}   0.8293
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0130853{col 26}{space 2} .0606788{col 37}{space 5}-.1128931{col 51}{space 3} .0867225
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *pred prob, other voting irreg --> victories
. *votes
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8v2elirreg if e(sample)==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 1}v8v2elirreg {c |}{res}        274   -.8430077    1.100052   -3.05133   2.361428
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2elirreg=( -3.05133 2.361428)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       274
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}-3.05133}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}2.361428}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4860207{col 26}{space 2} .0993543{col 37}{space 1}    4.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3225974{col 67}{space 3} .6494441
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .181314{col 26}{space 2} .0906367{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4} .0322299{col 67}{space 3} .3303982
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2elirreg=( -3.05133 2.361428)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}-3.05133}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}2.361428}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     3.17{col 38}{space 2}   0.0752
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3047067{col 26}{space 2} .1712642{col 37}{space 5}-.5864112{col 51}{space 3}-.0230022
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *seats
. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. summ v8v2elirreg if e(sample)==1

{txt}    Variable {c |}        Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 57}
{space 1}v8v2elirreg {c |}{res}        337   -.9607772    1.093376   -3.05133   2.361428
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2elirreg=(-3.05133 2.361428)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       337
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}-3.05133}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}2.361428}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .64939{col 26}{space 2} .0764507{col 37}{space 1}    8.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .5236399{col 67}{space 3} .7751402
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3025273{col 26}{space 2} .1117506{col 37}{space 1}    2.71{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .1187138{col 67}{space 3} .4863407
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2elirreg=(-3.05133 2.361428)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}-3.05133}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2elirreg}{space 5}{txt:=} {space 3}2.361428}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     4.12{col 38}{space 2}   0.0423
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3468628{col 26}{space 2} .1708233{col 37}{space 5} -.627842{col 51}{space 3}-.0658835
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *pred prob, monitors --> victories
. *votes
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2eldommon=(0 1)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       268
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5315608{col 26}{space 2} .0897865{col 37}{space 1}    5.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3838751{col 67}{space 3} .6792465
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2896984{col 26}{space 2} .0500581{col 37}{space 1}    5.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .2073602{col 67}{space 3} .3720366
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2eldommon=(0 1)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     6.25{col 38}{space 2}   0.0124
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2418624{col 26}{space 2} .0967302{col 37}{space 5}-.4009694{col 51}{space 3}-.0827555
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *seats
. quietly xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2eldommon=(0 1)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       327
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [90% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6222522{col 26}{space 2} .0745592{col 37}{space 1}    8.35{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .4996132{col 67}{space 3} .7448911
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .459653{col 26}{space 2} .0490462{col 37}{space 1}    9.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3789792{col 67}{space 3} .5403268
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8v2eldommon=(0 1)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lagpartseat60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8v2eldommon}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}     3.76{col 38}{space 2}   0.0524
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1625991{col 26}{space 2} .0838262{col 37}{space 5} -.300481{col 51}{space 3}-.0247173
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table E1: additional controls 
. *civil war
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar e_Civil_War gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-151.67431}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-135.57078}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-135.29672}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-135.29548}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-135.29548}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-135.29548
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-132.83002
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.68979
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-128.80075
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -127.1342
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-125.69459
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-124.52453
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.74547
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-123.81043

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.81595}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-119.65411}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-119.44535}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-119.44443}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-119.44443}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       224
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        69

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.2
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    15.94
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-119.44443{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0682

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:69} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1104324{col 31}{space 2}  .057634{col 42}{space 1}    1.92{col 51}{space 3}0.055{col 59}{space 4} -.002528{col 72}{space 3} .2233929
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.8848771{col 31}{space 2} .6621367{col 42}{space 1}   -1.34{col 51}{space 3}0.181{col 59}{space 4}-2.182641{col 72}{space 3} .4128869
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 9.874541{col 31}{space 2} 3.641316{col 42}{space 1}    2.71{col 51}{space 3}0.007{col 59}{space 4} 2.737692{col 72}{space 3} 17.01139
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0369342{col 31}{space 2} .1584912{col 42}{space 1}    0.23{col 51}{space 3}0.816{col 59}{space 4}-.2737029{col 72}{space 3} .3475712
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6588449{col 31}{space 2} .6627435{col 42}{space 1}   -0.99{col 51}{space 3}0.320{col 59}{space 4}-1.957798{col 72}{space 3} .6401085
{txt}{space 6}e_Civil_War {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.8234309{col 31}{space 2} 1.008564{col 42}{space 1}   -0.82{col 51}{space 3}0.414{col 59}{space 4} -2.80018{col 72}{space 3} 1.153319
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0350698{col 31}{space 2}  .109452{col 42}{space 1}   -0.32{col 51}{space 3}0.749{col 59}{space 4}-.2495918{col 72}{space 3} .1794522
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0023373{col 31}{space 2} .0037991{col 42}{space 1}    0.62{col 51}{space 3}0.538{col 59}{space 4}-.0051088{col 72}{space 3} .0097834
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000255{col 31}{space 2} .0000349{col 42}{space 1}   -0.73{col 51}{space 3}0.466{col 59}{space 4}-.0000939{col 72}{space 3}  .000043
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -4.31188{col 31}{space 2} 6.772614{col 42}{space 1}   -0.64{col 51}{space 3}0.524{col 59}{space 4}-17.58596{col 72}{space 3}   8.9622
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  1.77695{col 31}{space 2} .5708775{col 59}{space 4} .6580507{col 72}{space 3} 2.895849
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.431419{col 31}{space 2} .6940212{col 59}{space 4} 1.389613{col 72}{space 3} 4.254276
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6424704{col 31}{space 2} .1311318{col 59}{space 4} .3698648{col 72}{space 3} .8461869
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar e_Civil_War gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.57616}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.36914}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.13202}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.13177}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.13177}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-145.13177
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-142.17481
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-139.44148
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-136.89983
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -134.5404
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -132.3816
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -130.4891
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-129.02889
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-128.43848

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.00877}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.93163}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.40071}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.38592}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-123.38592}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       257
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        82

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.1
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    23.02
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-123.38592{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0061

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:82} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1514422{col 31}{space 2} .0584148{col 42}{space 1}    2.59{col 51}{space 3}0.010{col 59}{space 4} .0369513{col 72}{space 3} .2659332
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.860226{col 31}{space 2} .6904277{col 42}{space 1}   -2.69{col 51}{space 3}0.007{col 59}{space 4} -3.21344{col 72}{space 3} -.507013
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 9.317435{col 31}{space 2} 3.279667{col 42}{space 1}    2.84{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 2.889406{col 72}{space 3} 15.74546
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1238401{col 31}{space 2} .1600097{col 42}{space 1}    0.77{col 51}{space 3}0.439{col 59}{space 4}-.1897732{col 72}{space 3} .4374533
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.318426{col 31}{space 2} .7162409{col 42}{space 1}    1.84{col 51}{space 3}0.066{col 59}{space 4}  -.08538{col 72}{space 3} 2.722233
{txt}{space 6}e_Civil_War {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6319636{col 31}{space 2}  1.15087{col 42}{space 1}    0.55{col 51}{space 3}0.583{col 59}{space 4}  -1.6237{col 72}{space 3} 2.887627
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1499689{col 31}{space 2} .1056546{col 42}{space 1}   -1.42{col 51}{space 3}0.156{col 59}{space 4}-.3570481{col 72}{space 3} .0571104
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0075337{col 31}{space 2} .0034455{col 42}{space 1}    2.19{col 51}{space 3}0.029{col 59}{space 4} .0007806{col 72}{space 3} .0142869
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000685{col 31}{space 2} .0000281{col 42}{space 1}   -2.44{col 51}{space 3}0.015{col 59}{space 4}-.0001235{col 72}{space 3}-.0000135
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2518465{col 31}{space 2}  5.58624{col 42}{space 1}   -0.05{col 51}{space 3}0.964{col 59}{space 4}-11.20068{col 72}{space 3} 10.69698
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.997681{col 31}{space 2} .4473944{col 59}{space 4} 1.120804{col 72}{space 3} 2.874558
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.715132{col 31}{space 2} .6073675{col 59}{space 4} 1.751377{col 72}{space 3} 4.209227
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6914344{col 31}{space 2} .0954529{col 59}{space 4} .4824964{col 72}{space 3} .8433953
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *reserved seats for women
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar resseatwom gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-181.59263}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.87373}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.77444}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.77442}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.77442}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-165.77442
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-161.61885
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-158.10455
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-155.05812
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -152.3942
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-150.08226
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -148.1384
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-146.64594
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-145.98311

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-146.75981}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.20734}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.75745}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.74475}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.74474}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.74468}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.74468}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       267
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        70

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    13.97
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-139.74468{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1234

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:70} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1605829{col 31}{space 2} .0750321{col 42}{space 1}    2.14{col 51}{space 3}0.032{col 59}{space 4} .0135227{col 72}{space 3} .3076431
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7022784{col 31}{space 2} .6536476{col 42}{space 1}   -1.07{col 51}{space 3}0.283{col 59}{space 4}-1.983404{col 72}{space 3} .5788473
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.749298{col 31}{space 2} 3.076099{col 42}{space 1}    2.84{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 2.720255{col 72}{space 3} 14.77834
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0158061{col 31}{space 2} .1498163{col 42}{space 1}    0.11{col 51}{space 3}0.916{col 59}{space 4}-.2778285{col 72}{space 3} .3094407
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -1.11781{col 31}{space 2} .7360697{col 42}{space 1}   -1.52{col 51}{space 3}0.129{col 59}{space 4} -2.56048{col 72}{space 3}   .32486
{txt}{space 7}resseatwom {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5270249{col 31}{space 2} 1.129998{col 42}{space 1}    0.47{col 51}{space 3}0.641{col 59}{space 4} -1.68773{col 72}{space 3}  2.74178
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0346738{col 31}{space 2} .0996439{col 42}{space 1}   -0.35{col 51}{space 3}0.728{col 59}{space 4}-.2299722{col 72}{space 3} .1606246
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0017955{col 31}{space 2}  .003272{col 42}{space 1}    0.55{col 51}{space 3}0.583{col 59}{space 4}-.0046176{col 72}{space 3} .0082086
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.000021{col 31}{space 2} .0000307{col 42}{space 1}   -0.68{col 51}{space 3}0.494{col 59}{space 4}-.0000812{col 72}{space 3} .0000392
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-10.15693{col 31}{space 2} 7.865155{col 42}{space 1}   -1.29{col 51}{space 3}0.197{col 59}{space 4}-25.57235{col 72}{space 3}  5.25849
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.151711{col 31}{space 2} .5848682{col 59}{space 4}  1.00539{col 72}{space 3} 3.298031
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}   2.9325{col 31}{space 2}  .857563{col 59}{space 4} 1.653171{col 72}{space 3} 5.201857
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7232946{col 31}{space 2} .1170552{col 59}{space 4} .4537681{col 72}{space 3} .8915994
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar resseatwom gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-226.58277}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-188.64214}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-188.34291}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-188.34245}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-188.34245}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-188.34245
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-184.39699
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-180.91966
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.82183
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-175.06266
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-172.64987
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-170.66491
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-169.35105
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-169.44067

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-169.30079}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-166.63243}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -166.5722}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-166.57216}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-166.57216}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       329
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        87

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    31.01
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-166.57216{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0003

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:87} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1213862{col 31}{space 2} .0380531{col 42}{space 1}    3.19{col 51}{space 3}0.001{col 59}{space 4} .0468036{col 72}{space 3} .1959688
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  -1.2364{col 31}{space 2} .4907992{col 42}{space 1}   -2.52{col 51}{space 3}0.012{col 59}{space 4}-2.198349{col 72}{space 3}-.2744515
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.039166{col 31}{space 2} 2.141358{col 42}{space 1}    2.82{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4} 1.842181{col 72}{space 3} 10.23615
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1118283{col 31}{space 2} .1107566{col 42}{space 1}    1.01{col 51}{space 3}0.313{col 59}{space 4}-.1052506{col 72}{space 3} .3289072
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6657686{col 31}{space 2} .4760321{col 42}{space 1}    1.40{col 51}{space 3}0.162{col 59}{space 4}-.2672371{col 72}{space 3} 1.598774
{txt}{space 7}resseatwom {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.428454{col 31}{space 2} .7461139{col 42}{space 1}   -1.91{col 51}{space 3}0.056{col 59}{space 4}-2.890811{col 72}{space 3}  .033902
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0584458{col 31}{space 2} .0817985{col 42}{space 1}   -0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.475{col 59}{space 4} -.218768{col 72}{space 3} .1018764
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0046392{col 31}{space 2} .0025922{col 42}{space 1}    1.79{col 51}{space 3}0.074{col 59}{space 4}-.0004414{col 72}{space 3} .0097199
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000482{col 31}{space 2} .0000212{col 42}{space 1}   -2.27{col 51}{space 3}0.023{col 59}{space 4}-.0000898{col 72}{space 3}-6.62e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.135721{col 31}{space 2} 3.999401{col 42}{space 1}   -0.53{col 51}{space 3}0.593{col 59}{space 4}-9.974404{col 72}{space 3} 5.702962
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  1.46673{col 31}{space 2} .4464248{col 59}{space 4} .5917536{col 72}{space 3} 2.341707
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.082075{col 31}{space 2}  .464745{col 59}{space 4} 1.344305{col 72}{space 3} 3.224743
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5685365{col 31}{space 2} .1095092{col 59}{space 4}  .354551{col 72}{space 3} .7596678
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *controlling for and excluding cases with (potential) restrictions on seat share
. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar restrict gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-229.55365}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.85824}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.56913}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.56829}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.56829}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.56829
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-190.86115
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-186.83321
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.34646
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-180.32766
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.76492
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-175.72593
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.43339
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.57135

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.45396}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -171.2036}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -171.1664}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.16636}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.16636}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    29.93
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-171.16636{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0005

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1159974{col 31}{space 2}  .037017{col 42}{space 1}    3.13{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4} .0434455{col 72}{space 3} .1885493
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.190794{col 31}{space 2} .4565587{col 42}{space 1}   -2.61{col 51}{space 3}0.009{col 59}{space 4}-2.085632{col 72}{space 3} -.295955
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.373629{col 31}{space 2} 2.058708{col 42}{space 1}    2.61{col 51}{space 3}0.009{col 59}{space 4} 1.338634{col 72}{space 3} 9.408623
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1176021{col 31}{space 2} .1102051{col 42}{space 1}    1.07{col 51}{space 3}0.286{col 59}{space 4} -.098396{col 72}{space 3} .3336002
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6286182{col 31}{space 2} .4581779{col 42}{space 1}    1.37{col 51}{space 3}0.170{col 59}{space 4}-.2693939{col 72}{space 3}  1.52663
{txt}{space 9}restrict {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6388419{col 31}{space 2} 1.181504{col 42}{space 1}    0.54{col 51}{space 3}0.589{col 59}{space 4}-1.676864{col 72}{space 3} 2.954547
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.035298{col 31}{space 2} .0813645{col 42}{space 1}   -0.43{col 51}{space 3}0.664{col 59}{space 4}-.1947695{col 72}{space 3} .1241735
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0036171{col 31}{space 2} .0025265{col 42}{space 1}    1.43{col 51}{space 3}0.152{col 59}{space 4}-.0013348{col 72}{space 3}  .008569
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000395{col 31}{space 2} .0000205{col 42}{space 1}   -1.93{col 51}{space 3}0.054{col 59}{space 4}-.0000797{col 72}{space 3} 6.08e-07
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.216262{col 31}{space 2} 3.907135{col 42}{space 1}   -0.57{col 51}{space 3}0.571{col 59}{space 4}-9.874105{col 72}{space 3} 5.441582
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.430335{col 31}{space 2} .4340626{col 59}{space 4} .5795876{col 72}{space 3} 2.281082
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.044529{col 31}{space 2} .4437267{col 59}{space 4} 1.336152{col 72}{space 3}  3.12846
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5595873{col 31}{space 2} .1069744{col 59}{space 4} .3517718{col 72}{space 3} .7484258
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1 & restrict!=1 , vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-215.10391}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-186.17386}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-185.90697}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-185.90615}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-185.90615}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-185.90615
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-181.35513
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.47635
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.12543
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-171.22329
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-168.75098
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-166.76478
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-165.46574
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-165.48787

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.49105}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-162.44348}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-162.39561}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-162.39548}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-162.39547}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       311
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        84

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.7
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    28.48
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-162.39547{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0004

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:84} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1144412{col 31}{space 2} .0370514{col 42}{space 1}    3.09{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4} .0418218{col 72}{space 3} .1870606
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9961563{col 31}{space 2} .4522359{col 42}{space 1}   -2.20{col 51}{space 3}0.028{col 59}{space 4}-1.882522{col 72}{space 3}-.1097901
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.318281{col 31}{space 2} 2.138652{col 42}{space 1}    2.95{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4}   2.1266{col 72}{space 3} 10.50996
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0781636{col 31}{space 2} .1092163{col 42}{space 1}    0.72{col 51}{space 3}0.474{col 59}{space 4}-.1358964{col 72}{space 3} .2922236
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6694903{col 31}{space 2} .4796172{col 42}{space 1}    1.40{col 51}{space 3}0.163{col 59}{space 4}-.2705422{col 72}{space 3} 1.609523
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0475881{col 31}{space 2} .0839255{col 42}{space 1}   -0.57{col 51}{space 3}0.571{col 59}{space 4} -.212079{col 72}{space 3} .1169029
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0036906{col 31}{space 2} .0026131{col 42}{space 1}    1.41{col 51}{space 3}0.158{col 59}{space 4} -.001431{col 72}{space 3} .0088123
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000391{col 31}{space 2} .0000211{col 42}{space 1}   -1.85{col 51}{space 3}0.064{col 59}{space 4}-.0000805{col 72}{space 3} 2.23e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.425061{col 31}{space 2} 3.962635{col 42}{space 1}   -0.86{col 51}{space 3}0.387{col 59}{space 4}-11.19168{col 72}{space 3} 4.341562
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.428158{col 31}{space 2} .4309776{col 59}{space 4} .5834575{col 72}{space 3} 2.272859
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.042305{col 31}{space 2} .4400939{col 59}{space 4}  1.33874{col 72}{space 3} 3.115624
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5590508{col 31}{space 2} .1062416{col 59}{space 4} .3526548{col 72}{space 3} .7468744
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *Table E2: additional controls 
. *controlling for and exlcuding opposition victory
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar oppvic gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-165.49509}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.41221}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -147.1737}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.17297}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.17297}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-147.17297
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.31911
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-141.87198
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-139.74299
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.89794
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-136.34186
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-135.12429
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.38446
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.62858

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-134.47242}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.41272}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -130.1147}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.10725}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -130.1072}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-130.10719}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       244
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        70

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    14.77
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-130.10719{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0975

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:70} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1206951{col 31}{space 2} .0581554{col 42}{space 1}    2.08{col 51}{space 3}0.038{col 59}{space 4} .0067125{col 72}{space 3} .2346777
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9084168{col 31}{space 2} .6432662{col 42}{space 1}   -1.41{col 51}{space 3}0.158{col 59}{space 4}-2.169195{col 72}{space 3} .3523617
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.787301{col 31}{space 2} 3.347564{col 42}{space 1}    2.62{col 51}{space 3}0.009{col 59}{space 4} 2.226196{col 72}{space 3} 15.34841
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0709686{col 31}{space 2} .1422902{col 42}{space 1}    0.50{col 51}{space 3}0.618{col 59}{space 4}-.2079151{col 72}{space 3} .3498523
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7854112{col 31}{space 2} .6416923{col 42}{space 1}   -1.22{col 51}{space 3}0.221{col 59}{space 4}-2.043105{col 72}{space 3} .4722825
{txt}{space 11}oppvic {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.093187{col 31}{space 2} 1.113857{col 42}{space 1}   -0.98{col 51}{space 3}0.326{col 59}{space 4}-3.276307{col 72}{space 3} 1.089932
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0053718{col 31}{space 2} .1124163{col 42}{space 1}    0.05{col 51}{space 3}0.962{col 59}{space 4}-.2149601{col 72}{space 3} .2257038
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .000938{col 31}{space 2} .0036549{col 42}{space 1}    0.26{col 51}{space 3}0.797{col 59}{space 4}-.0062255{col 72}{space 3} .0081015
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.000014{col 31}{space 2} .0000335{col 42}{space 1}   -0.42{col 51}{space 3}0.675{col 59}{space 4}-.0000797{col 72}{space 3} .0000516
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-5.191715{col 31}{space 2} 6.631034{col 42}{space 1}   -0.78{col 51}{space 3}0.434{col 59}{space 4} -18.1883{col 72}{space 3} 7.804873
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.728953{col 31}{space 2} .5878762{col 59}{space 4} .5767366{col 72}{space 3} 2.881169
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.373763{col 31}{space 2} .6977394{col 59}{space 4} 1.334249{col 72}{space 3} 4.223164
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6313716{col 31}{space 2} .1368232{col 59}{space 4}  .351122{col 72}{space 3} .8442664
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar oppvic gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-197.05664}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.71911}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.43579}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.43493}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.43493}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-155.43493
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.05119
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-148.92658
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-146.04561
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.41047
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-141.05127
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-139.05019
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.60326
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.22144

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -137.6044}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.56621}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-133.38606}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -133.3856}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -133.3856}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       286
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        85

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.4
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    25.93
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res} -133.3856{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0021

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:85} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1417879{col 31}{space 2} .0495916{col 42}{space 1}    2.86{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} .0445901{col 72}{space 3} .2389857
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.674866{col 31}{space 2} .6036745{col 42}{space 1}   -2.77{col 51}{space 3}0.006{col 59}{space 4}-2.858046{col 72}{space 3}-.4916855
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 7.423869{col 31}{space 2} 2.582452{col 42}{space 1}    2.87{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 2.362355{col 72}{space 3} 12.48538
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0907873{col 31}{space 2} .1349115{col 42}{space 1}    0.67{col 51}{space 3}0.501{col 59}{space 4}-.1736345{col 72}{space 3}  .355209
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .8415132{col 31}{space 2} .5913046{col 42}{space 1}    1.42{col 51}{space 3}0.155{col 59}{space 4}-.3174224{col 72}{space 3} 2.000449
{txt}{space 11}oppvic {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-3.013402{col 31}{space 2} 1.379027{col 42}{space 1}   -2.19{col 51}{space 3}0.029{col 59}{space 4}-5.716244{col 72}{space 3}-.3105596
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.066649{col 31}{space 2} .0951277{col 42}{space 1}   -0.70{col 51}{space 3}0.484{col 59}{space 4}-.2530959{col 72}{space 3} .1197978
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0052493{col 31}{space 2} .0030076{col 42}{space 1}    1.75{col 51}{space 3}0.081{col 59}{space 4}-.0006454{col 72}{space 3}  .011144
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000525{col 31}{space 2} .0000247{col 42}{space 1}   -2.13{col 51}{space 3}0.033{col 59}{space 4}-.0001008{col 72}{space 3}-4.13e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6652122{col 31}{space 2} 4.843662{col 42}{space 1}   -0.14{col 51}{space 3}0.891{col 59}{space 4}-10.15862{col 72}{space 3} 8.828191
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.705041{col 31}{space 2} .4559455{col 59}{space 4} .8114038{col 72}{space 3} 2.598677
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.345551{col 31}{space 2} .5347217{col 59}{space 4} 1.500355{col 72}{space 3} 3.666871
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6257889{col 31}{space 2}  .106772{col 59}{space 4} .4062611{col 72}{space 3} .8034234
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1 & oppvic==0, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.78451}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.39662}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.25969}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.25954}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.25954}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-140.25954
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}   -137.35
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -134.8329
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -132.6175
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.66455
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-128.97084
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-127.57351
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-126.58995
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-126.45088

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.65901}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-122.20791}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-122.06804}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-122.06618}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-122.06618}  (backed up)
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-122.06617}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       228
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        64

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.6
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        17

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    12.74
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-122.06617{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1210

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:64} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1304202{col 31}{space 2} .0677659{col 42}{space 1}    1.92{col 51}{space 3}0.054{col 59}{space 4}-.0023985{col 72}{space 3}  .263239
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7941431{col 31}{space 2} .7167671{col 42}{space 1}   -1.11{col 51}{space 3}0.268{col 59}{space 4}-2.198981{col 72}{space 3} .6106946
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.563894{col 31}{space 2} 3.444439{col 42}{space 1}    2.49{col 51}{space 3}0.013{col 59}{space 4} 1.812918{col 72}{space 3} 15.31487
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0723686{col 31}{space 2} .1486483{col 42}{space 1}    0.49{col 51}{space 3}0.626{col 59}{space 4}-.2189768{col 72}{space 3}  .363714
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7958464{col 31}{space 2} .6792931{col 42}{space 1}   -1.17{col 51}{space 3}0.241{col 59}{space 4}-2.127236{col 72}{space 3} .5355435
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0053422{col 31}{space 2} .1290818{col 42}{space 1}   -0.04{col 51}{space 3}0.967{col 59}{space 4}-.2583379{col 72}{space 3} .2476536
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0008428{col 31}{space 2} .0040571{col 42}{space 1}    0.21{col 51}{space 3}0.835{col 59}{space 4} -.007109{col 72}{space 3} .0087946
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000118{col 31}{space 2} .0000372{col 42}{space 1}   -0.32{col 51}{space 3}0.752{col 59}{space 4}-.0000847{col 72}{space 3} .0000611
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-6.876736{col 31}{space 2} 7.836077{col 42}{space 1}   -0.88{col 51}{space 3}0.380{col 59}{space 4}-22.23517{col 72}{space 3} 8.481693
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.949642{col 31}{space 2} .6532761{col 59}{space 4} .6692447{col 72}{space 3}  3.23004
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.650693{col 31}{space 2} .8658172{col 59}{space 4} 1.397413{col 72}{space 3} 5.027988
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .681092{col 31}{space 2} .1418953{col 59}{space 4} .3724775{col 72}{space 3}  .884851
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1 & oppvic==0 , vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.06031}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.41611}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.18041}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.18026}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.18026}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-147.18026
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.85828
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-140.77364
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.91703
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-135.29557
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-132.94213
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.93814
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-129.47266
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-129.02918

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.46784}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-125.05435}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.80181}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.80057}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.80057}  (backed up)
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       268
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        78

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.4
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        17

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    25.36
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-124.80057{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0013

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:78} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1473517{col 31}{space 2} .0511773{col 42}{space 1}    2.88{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4}  .047046{col 72}{space 3} .2476573
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.760482{col 31}{space 2} .6405416{col 42}{space 1}   -2.75{col 51}{space 3}0.006{col 59}{space 4} -3.01592{col 72}{space 3}-.5050436
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.214784{col 31}{space 2} 2.784434{col 42}{space 1}    2.95{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4} 2.757393{col 72}{space 3} 13.67218
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1214702{col 31}{space 2} .1402316{col 42}{space 1}    0.87{col 51}{space 3}0.386{col 59}{space 4}-.1533786{col 72}{space 3}  .396319
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.027091{col 31}{space 2} .6452951{col 42}{space 1}    1.59{col 51}{space 3}0.111{col 59}{space 4}-.2376643{col 72}{space 3} 2.291846
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1099037{col 31}{space 2} .1044236{col 42}{space 1}   -1.05{col 51}{space 3}0.293{col 59}{space 4}-.3145701{col 72}{space 3} .0947628
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0068833{col 31}{space 2} .0033554{col 42}{space 1}    2.05{col 51}{space 3}0.040{col 59}{space 4} .0003069{col 72}{space 3} .0134597
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.000066{col 31}{space 2} .0000279{col 42}{space 1}   -2.36{col 51}{space 3}0.018{col 59}{space 4}-.0001207{col 72}{space 3}-.0000112
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4196241{col 31}{space 2} 5.267292{col 42}{space 1}   -0.08{col 51}{space 3}0.937{col 59}{space 4}-10.74333{col 72}{space 3} 9.904078
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.793246{col 31}{space 2} .4497526{col 59}{space 4} .9117474{col 72}{space 3} 2.674745
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.451312{col 31}{space 2} .5512419{col 59}{space 4} 1.577551{col 72}{space 3} 3.809023
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .646205{col 31}{space 2} .1028243{col 59}{space 4} .4306744{col 72}{space 3} .8151606
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *excluding monarchies
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1 & gwf_monarchy==0, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-161.12504}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.27723}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.08465}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.08431}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.08431}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.08431
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-140.77333
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-138.78739
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -137.0642
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-135.58493
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.36383
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.45476
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-132.99891
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.51048

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -133.1008}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.20135}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.76347}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.75446}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-128.75446}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       236
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        68

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    13.27
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-128.75446{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1030

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:68} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1178235{col 31}{space 2} .0579162{col 42}{space 1}    2.03{col 51}{space 3}0.042{col 59}{space 4} .0043098{col 72}{space 3} .2313371
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9163795{col 31}{space 2} .6495241{col 42}{space 1}   -1.41{col 51}{space 3}0.158{col 59}{space 4}-2.189423{col 72}{space 3} .3566644
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 9.769035{col 31}{space 2}  3.46233{col 42}{space 1}    2.82{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4} 2.982994{col 72}{space 3} 16.55508
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0508091{col 31}{space 2} .1404822{col 42}{space 1}    0.36{col 51}{space 3}0.718{col 59}{space 4}-.2245309{col 72}{space 3} .3261492
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7976454{col 31}{space 2} .6744165{col 42}{space 1}   -1.18{col 51}{space 3}0.237{col 59}{space 4}-2.119478{col 72}{space 3} .5241867
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0169768{col 31}{space 2} .1065756{col 42}{space 1}   -0.16{col 51}{space 3}0.873{col 59}{space 4}-.2258611{col 72}{space 3} .1919076
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0018433{col 31}{space 2} .0035223{col 42}{space 1}    0.52{col 51}{space 3}0.601{col 59}{space 4}-.0050602{col 72}{space 3} .0087468
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.000022{col 31}{space 2} .0000325{col 42}{space 1}   -0.68{col 51}{space 3}0.499{col 59}{space 4}-.0000857{col 72}{space 3} .0000418
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-4.745072{col 31}{space 2} 6.498361{col 42}{space 1}   -0.73{col 51}{space 3}0.465{col 59}{space 4}-17.48162{col 72}{space 3} 7.991481
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.677418{col 31}{space 2} .6227641{col 59}{space 4} .4568231{col 72}{space 3} 2.898013
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.313379{col 31}{space 2} .7203446{col 59}{space 4} 1.256602{col 72}{space 3} 4.258882
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6192983{col 31}{space 2} .1468278{col 59}{space 4} .3243122{col 72}{space 3} .8464683
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1 & gwf_monarchy==0, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-185.30915}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.90813}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.51934}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.51885}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.51885}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-139.51885
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-137.61649
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-135.81585
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.12494
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-132.56909
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-131.19884
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.11482
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-129.54357
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-130.09492

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-129.54728}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.78304}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.75418}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.75412}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-126.75412}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       271
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        80

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.4
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    28.26
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-126.75412{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0004

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:80} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1301586{col 31}{space 2} .0463153{col 42}{space 1}    2.81{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4} .0393822{col 72}{space 3}  .220935
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.733023{col 31}{space 2} .6163493{col 42}{space 1}   -2.81{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4}-2.941046{col 72}{space 3}-.5250008
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 10.28817{col 31}{space 2} 3.041444{col 42}{space 1}    3.38{col 51}{space 3}0.001{col 59}{space 4} 4.327052{col 72}{space 3} 16.24929
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0841002{col 31}{space 2} .1312628{col 42}{space 1}    0.64{col 51}{space 3}0.522{col 59}{space 4}-.1731703{col 72}{space 3} .3413706
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6375253{col 31}{space 2} .6079987{col 42}{space 1}    1.05{col 51}{space 3}0.294{col 59}{space 4}-.5541302{col 72}{space 3} 1.829181
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1266778{col 31}{space 2} .0900849{col 42}{space 1}   -1.41{col 51}{space 3}0.160{col 59}{space 4}-.3032409{col 72}{space 3} .0498853
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0077912{col 31}{space 2}   .00295{col 42}{space 1}    2.64{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4} .0020094{col 72}{space 3}  .013573
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000738{col 31}{space 2} .0000247{col 42}{space 1}   -2.99{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4}-.0001222{col 72}{space 3}-.0000254
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.067231{col 31}{space 2} 4.715612{col 42}{space 1}    0.23{col 51}{space 3}0.821{col 59}{space 4}-8.175199{col 72}{space 3} 10.30966
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.456369{col 31}{space 2} .4930137{col 59}{space 4} .4900801{col 72}{space 3} 2.422658
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.071317{col 31}{space 2} .5105938{col 59}{space 4} 1.277672{col 72}{space 3} 3.357945
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5659932{col 31}{space 2} .1211063{col 59}{space 4} .3316421{col 72}{space 3} .7741353
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *Table F: large majorities, robustness checks (alternative thresholds) 
. xtlogit v8lgparty55 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-187.08307}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-169.82368}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -169.8088}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -169.8088}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -169.8088
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}  -166.413
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-163.46965
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-160.88086
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-158.59423
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-156.59886
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-154.93941
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-153.78418
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -153.7203

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-153.77156}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-149.97557}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-149.87646}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-149.87558}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-149.87558}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    12.60
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-149.87558{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1265

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty55{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0772917{col 31}{space 2} .0455332{col 42}{space 1}    1.70{col 51}{space 3}0.090{col 59}{space 4}-.0119518{col 72}{space 3} .1665352
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9383662{col 31}{space 2} .5642946{col 42}{space 1}   -1.66{col 51}{space 3}0.096{col 59}{space 4}-2.044363{col 72}{space 3} .1676309
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.627266{col 31}{space 2} 3.007093{col 42}{space 1}    2.20{col 51}{space 3}0.028{col 59}{space 4} .7334719{col 72}{space 3} 12.52106
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0185223{col 31}{space 2} .1709105{col 42}{space 1}    0.11{col 51}{space 3}0.914{col 59}{space 4}-.3164562{col 72}{space 3} .3535007
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0157275{col 31}{space 2} .6343939{col 42}{space 1}    0.02{col 51}{space 3}0.980{col 59}{space 4}-1.227662{col 72}{space 3} 1.259117
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0702273{col 31}{space 2} .0893913{col 42}{space 1}   -0.79{col 51}{space 3}0.432{col 59}{space 4} -.245431{col 72}{space 3} .1049764
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0036558{col 31}{space 2} .0030336{col 42}{space 1}    1.21{col 51}{space 3}0.228{col 59}{space 4}-.0022899{col 72}{space 3} .0096015
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000362{col 31}{space 2} .0000266{col 42}{space 1}   -1.36{col 51}{space 3}0.174{col 59}{space 4}-.0000885{col 72}{space 3}  .000016
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2006483{col 31}{space 2}  5.43103{col 42}{space 1}   -0.04{col 51}{space 3}0.971{col 59}{space 4}-10.84527{col 72}{space 3} 10.44398
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  1.73742{col 31}{space 2} .5550256{col 59}{space 4} .6495903{col 72}{space 3} 2.825251
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.383834{col 31}{space 2} .6615445{col 59}{space 4} 1.383747{col 72}{space 3} 4.106723
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6333401{col 31}{space 2} .1288883{col 59}{space 4} .3678952{col 72}{space 3} .8367719
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lgparty58 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-185.47963}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-170.42378}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-170.36118}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-170.36117}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-170.36117
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-166.46843
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-163.14573
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -160.2458
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.69446
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-155.46661
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-153.58803
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.19337
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-151.83592

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -152.2578}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-145.40281}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.94051}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -144.9311}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.93109}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    14.96
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-144.93109{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0598

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty58{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1487688{col 31}{space 2} .0670324{col 42}{space 1}    2.22{col 51}{space 3}0.026{col 59}{space 4} .0173878{col 72}{space 3} .2801499
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.888023{col 31}{space 2} .6082494{col 42}{space 1}   -1.46{col 51}{space 3}0.144{col 59}{space 4} -2.08017{col 72}{space 3} .3041239
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.196436{col 31}{space 2}  2.78614{col 42}{space 1}    2.94{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4} 2.735701{col 72}{space 3} 13.65717
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0222675{col 31}{space 2} .1251666{col 42}{space 1}   -0.18{col 51}{space 3}0.859{col 59}{space 4}-.2675896{col 72}{space 3} .2230545
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7249732{col 31}{space 2} .7380268{col 42}{space 1}   -0.98{col 51}{space 3}0.326{col 59}{space 4}-2.171479{col 72}{space 3} .7215327
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0429897{col 31}{space 2}  .086006{col 42}{space 1}   -0.50{col 51}{space 3}0.617{col 59}{space 4}-.2115585{col 72}{space 3}  .125579
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0020854{col 31}{space 2} .0027894{col 42}{space 1}    0.75{col 51}{space 3}0.455{col 59}{space 4}-.0033816{col 72}{space 3} .0075525
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000229{col 31}{space 2} .0000256{col 42}{space 1}   -0.90{col 51}{space 3}0.370{col 59}{space 4}-.0000731{col 72}{space 3} .0000273
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-7.356886{col 31}{space 2} 7.036228{col 42}{space 1}   -1.05{col 51}{space 3}0.296{col 59}{space 4}-21.14764{col 72}{space 3} 6.433867
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.173216{col 31}{space 2} .5547504{col 59}{space 4} 1.085926{col 72}{space 3} 3.260507
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.964203{col 31}{space 2} .8221965{col 59}{space 4} 1.721099{col 72}{space 3}  5.10517
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .727578{col 31}{space 2} .1099561{col 59}{space 4} .4737936{col 72}{space 3} .8879191
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lgparty62 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-178.49387}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-166.18172}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-166.06129}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-166.06127}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-166.06127
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-162.15485
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-158.97194
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}  -156.312
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-154.08908
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.28776
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-150.95245
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-150.19135
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-150.35803

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-150.24643}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -145.0618}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.49335}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.48433}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -144.4843}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.48429}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    13.94
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-144.48429{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0835

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty62{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1109096{col 31}{space 2} .0550919{col 42}{space 1}    2.01{col 51}{space 3}0.044{col 59}{space 4} .0029315{col 72}{space 3} .2188877
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7022445{col 31}{space 2} .4933886{col 42}{space 1}   -1.42{col 51}{space 3}0.155{col 59}{space 4}-1.669268{col 72}{space 3} .2647793
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.688287{col 31}{space 2}   2.6107{col 42}{space 1}    2.56{col 51}{space 3}0.010{col 59}{space 4} 1.571409{col 72}{space 3} 11.80516
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0380781{col 31}{space 2} .1252514{col 42}{space 1}    0.30{col 51}{space 3}0.761{col 59}{space 4}  -.20741{col 72}{space 3} .2835663
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.8174104{col 31}{space 2} .6036446{col 42}{space 1}   -1.35{col 51}{space 3}0.176{col 59}{space 4}-2.000532{col 72}{space 3} .3657112
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0136081{col 31}{space 2}  .098234{col 42}{space 1}   -0.14{col 51}{space 3}0.890{col 59}{space 4}-.2061431{col 72}{space 3} .1789269
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0012643{col 31}{space 2} .0033962{col 42}{space 1}    0.37{col 51}{space 3}0.710{col 59}{space 4}-.0053922{col 72}{space 3} .0079207
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000179{col 31}{space 2} .0000329{col 42}{space 1}   -0.54{col 51}{space 3}0.587{col 59}{space 4}-.0000823{col 72}{space 3} .0000466
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-5.948069{col 31}{space 2} 5.717148{col 42}{space 1}   -1.04{col 51}{space 3}0.298{col 59}{space 4}-17.15347{col 72}{space 3} 5.257335
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.693656{col 31}{space 2} .5201725{col 59}{space 4} .6741367{col 72}{space 3} 2.713175
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.332237{col 31}{space 2} .6065829{col 59}{space 4} 1.400835{col 72}{space 3} 3.882921
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6231191{col 31}{space 2} .1221582{col 59}{space 4} .3736217{col 72}{space 3}  .820881
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lgparty65 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.95188}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.57731}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.28934}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.28855}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-156.28855}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-156.28855
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.43068
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-149.40111
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-146.95625
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.99585
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.50288
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-142.55989
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-142.42164
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.57096

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-142.33569}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-137.72938}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.91983}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.90061}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.90061}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    17.16
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-136.90061{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0285

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty65{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0720314{col 31}{space 2}  .045459{col 42}{space 1}    1.58{col 51}{space 3}0.113{col 59}{space 4}-.0170666{col 72}{space 3} .1611294
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.2159376{col 31}{space 2} .5335285{col 42}{space 1}   -0.40{col 51}{space 3}0.686{col 59}{space 4}-1.261634{col 72}{space 3} .8297589
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.604482{col 31}{space 2}  2.62195{col 42}{space 1}    2.14{col 51}{space 3}0.033{col 59}{space 4} .4655555{col 72}{space 3} 10.74341
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.005046{col 31}{space 2} .1188194{col 42}{space 1}   -0.04{col 51}{space 3}0.966{col 59}{space 4}-.2379278{col 72}{space 3} .2278358
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5176724{col 31}{space 2}  .522326{col 42}{space 1}   -0.99{col 51}{space 3}0.322{col 59}{space 4}-1.541412{col 72}{space 3} .5060677
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0264792{col 31}{space 2}  .089585{col 42}{space 1}   -0.30{col 51}{space 3}0.768{col 59}{space 4}-.2020625{col 72}{space 3} .1491041
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0024877{col 31}{space 2} .0029946{col 42}{space 1}    0.83{col 51}{space 3}0.406{col 59}{space 4}-.0033817{col 72}{space 3}  .008357
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000356{col 31}{space 2} .0000275{col 42}{space 1}   -1.30{col 51}{space 3}0.195{col 59}{space 4}-.0000895{col 72}{space 3} .0000182
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-6.537959{col 31}{space 2}   5.5722{col 42}{space 1}   -1.17{col 51}{space 3}0.241{col 59}{space 4}-17.45927{col 72}{space 3} 4.383352
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.372771{col 31}{space 2} .4676227{col 59}{space 4} .4562476{col 72}{space 3} 2.289295
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.986522{col 31}{space 2} .4644715{col 59}{space 4} 1.256241{col 72}{space 3} 3.141334
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5453559{col 31}{space 2} .1159437{col 59}{space 4} .3241861{col 72}{space 3} .7499691
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat55 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-222.29917}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -200.4102}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.28469}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-200.28467}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-200.28467
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-195.91643
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-192.25931
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-189.20982
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-186.70521
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-184.74727
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -183.4332
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -183.0434
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-184.41212

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.02596}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-180.83601}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-180.79551}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-180.79549}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-180.79549}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    26.25
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-180.79549{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0010

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat55{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .040182{col 31}{space 2} .0282389{col 42}{space 1}    1.42{col 51}{space 3}0.155{col 59}{space 4}-.0151652{col 72}{space 3} .0955291
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7627581{col 31}{space 2} .3803431{col 42}{space 1}   -2.01{col 51}{space 3}0.045{col 59}{space 4}-1.508217{col 72}{space 3}-.0172993
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  5.31599{col 31}{space 2} 1.867033{col 42}{space 1}    2.85{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 1.656672{col 72}{space 3} 8.975307
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0612703{col 31}{space 2} .1007374{col 42}{space 1}    0.61{col 51}{space 3}0.543{col 59}{space 4}-.1361714{col 72}{space 3}  .258712
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .3227753{col 31}{space 2} .4285144{col 42}{space 1}    0.75{col 51}{space 3}0.451{col 59}{space 4}-.5170974{col 72}{space 3} 1.162648
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0103014{col 31}{space 2} .0692733{col 42}{space 1}   -0.15{col 51}{space 3}0.882{col 59}{space 4}-.1460746{col 72}{space 3} .1254718
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0029425{col 31}{space 2} .0023324{col 42}{space 1}    1.26{col 51}{space 3}0.207{col 59}{space 4}-.0016289{col 72}{space 3} .0075138
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000342{col 31}{space 2} .0000201{col 42}{space 1}   -1.70{col 51}{space 3}0.089{col 59}{space 4}-.0000737{col 72}{space 3} 5.24e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.902547{col 31}{space 2} 3.127716{col 42}{space 1}    0.61{col 51}{space 3}0.543{col 59}{space 4}-4.227664{col 72}{space 3} 8.032758
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.080338{col 31}{space 2} .4671444{col 59}{space 4} .1647521{col 72}{space 3} 1.995924
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.716297{col 31}{space 2} .4008793{col 59}{space 4} 1.085864{col 72}{space 3} 2.712748
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .4724008{col 31}{space 2} .1164303{col 59}{space 4} .2638418{col 72}{space 3} .6910594
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat58 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-228.28757}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-195.10872}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-194.91389}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-194.91363}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-194.91363}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-194.91363
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-190.25601
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-186.26165
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-182.81068
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-179.83463
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.32424
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -175.3525
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.15364
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.44648

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.15484}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.35333}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -171.3306}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.33059}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    27.25
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-171.33059{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0006

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat58{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0956645{col 31}{space 2} .0360402{col 42}{space 1}    2.65{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4}  .025027{col 72}{space 3}  .166302
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.207887{col 31}{space 2} .4551114{col 42}{space 1}   -2.65{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4}-2.099889{col 72}{space 3}-.3158849
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 4.877885{col 31}{space 2}    2.112{col 42}{space 1}    2.31{col 51}{space 3}0.021{col 59}{space 4} .7384415{col 72}{space 3} 9.017328
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1444722{col 31}{space 2}  .116332{col 42}{space 1}    1.24{col 51}{space 3}0.214{col 59}{space 4}-.0835344{col 72}{space 3} .3724788
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5228219{col 31}{space 2} .4615554{col 42}{space 1}    1.13{col 51}{space 3}0.257{col 59}{space 4}  -.38181{col 72}{space 3} 1.427454
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0454042{col 31}{space 2} .0782032{col 42}{space 1}   -0.58{col 51}{space 3}0.562{col 59}{space 4}-.1986796{col 72}{space 3} .1078712
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0043569{col 31}{space 2} .0024791{col 42}{space 1}    1.76{col 51}{space 3}0.079{col 59}{space 4} -.000502{col 72}{space 3} .0092159
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000467{col 31}{space 2} .0000205{col 42}{space 1}   -2.28{col 51}{space 3}0.023{col 59}{space 4}-.0000868{col 72}{space 3}-6.48e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0885801{col 31}{space 2} 3.956997{col 42}{space 1}   -0.02{col 51}{space 3}0.982{col 59}{space 4}-7.844153{col 72}{space 3} 7.666992
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.388468{col 31}{space 2} .4369482{col 59}{space 4} .5320649{col 72}{space 3}  2.24487
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.002174{col 31}{space 2} .4374233{col 59}{space 4} 1.304777{col 72}{space 3} 3.072327
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5492449{col 31}{space 2} .1081774{col 59}{space 4} .3410131{col 72}{space 3} .7415467
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat62 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-230.38389}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-197.45058}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-197.19838}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-197.19772}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-197.19772}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-197.19772
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-192.18396
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -187.8524
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -184.0566
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-180.71397
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.80165
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-175.37277
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-173.62756
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-173.18811

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.63148}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-169.81606}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-169.68898}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -169.6887}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -169.6887}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    26.79
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res} -169.6887{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0008

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat62{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1230857{col 31}{space 2} .0418856{col 42}{space 1}    2.94{col 51}{space 3}0.003{col 59}{space 4} .0409914{col 72}{space 3}   .20518
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -1.06796{col 31}{space 2} .4685445{col 42}{space 1}   -2.28{col 51}{space 3}0.023{col 59}{space 4} -1.98629{col 72}{space 3}-.1496294
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 4.693298{col 31}{space 2} 2.048038{col 42}{space 1}    2.29{col 51}{space 3}0.022{col 59}{space 4} .6792177{col 72}{space 3} 8.707378
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .104821{col 31}{space 2}  .114724{col 42}{space 1}    0.91{col 51}{space 3}0.361{col 59}{space 4}-.1200339{col 72}{space 3} .3296759
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6655281{col 31}{space 2} .4747749{col 42}{space 1}    1.40{col 51}{space 3}0.161{col 59}{space 4}-.2650137{col 72}{space 3}  1.59607
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0217014{col 31}{space 2} .0872695{col 42}{space 1}   -0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.804{col 59}{space 4}-.1927465{col 72}{space 3} .1493437
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0034979{col 31}{space 2} .0027814{col 42}{space 1}    1.26{col 51}{space 3}0.209{col 59}{space 4}-.0019536{col 72}{space 3} .0089494
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000415{col 31}{space 2} .0000239{col 42}{space 1}   -1.74{col 51}{space 3}0.082{col 59}{space 4}-.0000883{col 72}{space 3} 5.26e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -4.11053{col 31}{space 2} 4.301934{col 42}{space 1}   -0.96{col 51}{space 3}0.339{col 59}{space 4}-12.54217{col 72}{space 3} 4.321105
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.610412{col 31}{space 2} .4274728{col 59}{space 4} .7725801{col 72}{space 3} 2.448243
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.237157{col 31}{space 2} .4781619{col 59}{space 4} 1.471511{col 72}{space 3} 3.401177
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6033789{col 31}{space 2} .1022997{col 59}{space 4} .3969314{col 72}{space 3} .7785774
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lagpartseat65 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-230.48006}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-193.30422}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-192.78584}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-192.78493}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-192.78493}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-192.78493
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-188.02191
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.96546
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-180.47097
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-177.46221
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.92665
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-172.93212
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-171.70321
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-171.96125

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-171.74316}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-167.51116}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-167.44483}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-167.44462}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-167.44462}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       333
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    33.45
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-167.44462{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0001

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat65{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1410105{col 31}{space 2} .0373191{col 42}{space 1}    3.78{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} .0678664{col 72}{space 3} .2141547
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7938387{col 31}{space 2} .4147083{col 42}{space 1}   -1.91{col 51}{space 3}0.056{col 59}{space 4}-1.606652{col 72}{space 3} .0189747
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.138957{col 31}{space 2} 1.957595{col 42}{space 1}    1.09{col 51}{space 3}0.275{col 59}{space 4}-1.697858{col 72}{space 3} 5.975772
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0344625{col 31}{space 2} .1060047{col 42}{space 1}    0.33{col 51}{space 3}0.745{col 59}{space 4}-.1733029{col 72}{space 3} .2422279
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .8706334{col 31}{space 2}  .536939{col 42}{space 1}    1.62{col 51}{space 3}0.105{col 59}{space 4}-.1817477{col 72}{space 3} 1.923015
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0149647{col 31}{space 2} .0877121{col 42}{space 1}    0.17{col 51}{space 3}0.865{col 59}{space 4}-.1569478{col 72}{space 3} .1868772
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .003205{col 31}{space 2} .0030596{col 42}{space 1}    1.05{col 51}{space 3}0.295{col 59}{space 4}-.0027917{col 72}{space 3} .0092016
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000474{col 31}{space 2} .0000265{col 42}{space 1}   -1.79{col 51}{space 3}0.074{col 59}{space 4}-.0000994{col 72}{space 3} 4.55e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-8.563571{col 31}{space 2}  3.81683{col 42}{space 1}   -2.24{col 51}{space 3}0.025{col 59}{space 4}-16.04442{col 72}{space 3}-1.082722
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.551566{col 31}{space 2} .4379767{col 59}{space 4} .6931472{col 72}{space 3} 2.409984
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.172292{col 31}{space 2} .4757067{col 59}{space 4} 1.414214{col 72}{space 3} 3.336733
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5892143{col 31}{space 2} .1060082{col 59}{space 4} .3780813{col 72}{space 3} .7719116
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *Table I: subtle manip, extra analyses
. *free media access
. xtreg v8v2elfrcamp v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       449
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        91

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.1930                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.0002                                         {txt}avg = {res}       4.9
{txt}     overall = {res}0.0006                                         {txt}max = {res}        18

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      =  {res}    19.97
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0056

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:91} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}     v8v2elfrcamp{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0222575{col 31}{space 2} .0124566{col 42}{space 1}   -1.79{col 51}{space 3}0.074{col 59}{space 4}-.0466719{col 72}{space 3} .0021569
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1264968{col 31}{space 2} .1399457{col 42}{space 1}    0.90{col 51}{space 3}0.366{col 59}{space 4}-.1477917{col 72}{space 3} .4007853
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0353735{col 31}{space 2} .3714882{col 42}{space 1}   -0.10{col 51}{space 3}0.924{col 59}{space 4}-.7634769{col 72}{space 3}   .69273
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0025563{col 31}{space 2} .0372162{col 42}{space 1}    0.07{col 51}{space 3}0.945{col 59}{space 4}-.0703862{col 72}{space 3} .0754988
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .012869{col 31}{space 2} .0180079{col 42}{space 1}    0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.475{col 59}{space 4}-.0224258{col 72}{space 3} .0481639
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0004964{col 31}{space 2} .0006149{col 42}{space 1}   -0.81{col 51}{space 3}0.419{col 59}{space 4}-.0017015{col 72}{space 3} .0007087
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.43e-06{col 31}{space 2} 5.44e-06{col 42}{space 1}    1.55{col 51}{space 3}0.121{col 59}{space 4}-2.22e-06{col 72}{space 3} .0000191
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.053596{col 31}{space 2} 1.103598{col 42}{space 1}    0.95{col 51}{space 3}0.340{col 59}{space 4}-1.109416{col 72}{space 3} 3.216608
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} .92197017
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .59278665
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .70751731{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. xtreg v8v2elfrcamp  v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       393
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        88

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.2620                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.0043                                         {txt}avg = {res}       4.5
{txt}     overall = {res}0.0460                                         {txt}max = {res}        18

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      =  {res}    27.14
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0013

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}       v8v2elfrcamp{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0178613{col 33}{space 2} .0104187{col 44}{space 1}   -1.71{col 53}{space 3}0.086{col 61}{space 4}-.0382815{col 74}{space 3} .0025589
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0978567{col 33}{space 2} .1405967{col 44}{space 1}    0.70{col 53}{space 3}0.486{col 61}{space 4}-.1777077{col 74}{space 3} .3734211
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.2469525{col 33}{space 2} .3872595{col 44}{space 1}   -0.64{col 53}{space 3}0.524{col 61}{space 4}-1.005967{col 74}{space 3} .5120621
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0094997{col 33}{space 2} .0369987{col 44}{space 1}    0.26{col 53}{space 3}0.797{col 61}{space 4}-.0630165{col 74}{space 3} .0820159
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.6716829{col 33}{space 2} .4363708{col 44}{space 1}   -1.54{col 53}{space 3}0.124{col 61}{space 4}-1.526954{col 74}{space 3} .1835881
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.1491294{col 33}{space 2} .0921818{col 44}{space 1}   -1.62{col 53}{space 3}0.106{col 61}{space 4}-.3298025{col 74}{space 3} .0315437
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .0103168{col 33}{space 2} .0180089{col 44}{space 1}    0.57{col 53}{space 3}0.567{col 61}{space 4}  -.02498{col 74}{space 3} .0456136
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0003815{col 33}{space 2} .0005921{col 44}{space 1}   -0.64{col 53}{space 3}0.519{col 61}{space 4} -.001542{col 74}{space 3}  .000779
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.58e-06{col 33}{space 2} 5.30e-06{col 44}{space 1}    1.43{col 53}{space 3}0.153{col 61}{space 4}-2.81e-06{col 74}{space 3}  .000018
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 1.235805{col 33}{space 2} 1.127251{col 44}{space 1}    1.10{col 53}{space 3}0.273{col 61}{space 4}-.9735656{col 74}{space 3} 3.445176
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |} {res} .91559436
            {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .57854737
                {txt}rho {c |} {res} .71465604{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. 
. 
. *Table J: Subtle manipulation --> supermajority victory
. *Media bias --> vote
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-170.93775}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.57236}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.48263}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.48259}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-155.48259}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-155.48259
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-151.94854
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-149.12625
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-146.77823
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.80552
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.18463
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-141.95793
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-141.21696
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-141.14478

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-141.22327}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-137.19653}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.95855}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.95776}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-136.95776}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       251
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    12.08
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-136.95776{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1479

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}nelda16_summ {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.060707{col 31}{space 2} .5492312{col 42}{space 1}    1.93{col 51}{space 3}0.053{col 59}{space 4}-.0157666{col 72}{space 3}  2.13718
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7674704{col 31}{space 2} .5766934{col 42}{space 1}   -1.33{col 51}{space 3}0.183{col 59}{space 4}-1.897769{col 72}{space 3} .3628279
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.848019{col 31}{space 2} 3.345534{col 42}{space 1}    2.64{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4} 2.290893{col 72}{space 3} 15.40515
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0200407{col 31}{space 2} .1354928{col 42}{space 1}    0.15{col 51}{space 3}0.882{col 59}{space 4}-.2455203{col 72}{space 3} .2856018
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6395459{col 31}{space 2}  .643592{col 42}{space 1}   -0.99{col 51}{space 3}0.320{col 59}{space 4}-1.900963{col 72}{space 3} .6218713
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0033157{col 31}{space 2} .1023373{col 42}{space 1}    0.03{col 51}{space 3}0.974{col 59}{space 4}-.1972617{col 72}{space 3} .2038932
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0013563{col 31}{space 2} .0034545{col 42}{space 1}    0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.695{col 59}{space 4}-.0054144{col 72}{space 3} .0081269
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000187{col 31}{space 2} .0000322{col 42}{space 1}   -0.58{col 51}{space 3}0.561{col 59}{space 4}-.0000818{col 72}{space 3} .0000444
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}   4.2746{col 31}{space 2}  4.35797{col 42}{space 1}    0.98{col 51}{space 3}0.327{col 59}{space 4}-4.266864{col 72}{space 3} 12.81606
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.540419{col 31}{space 2} .5527413{col 59}{space 4} .4570659{col 72}{space 3} 2.623772
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.160219{col 31}{space 2}  .597021{col 59}{space 4} 1.256755{col 72}{space 3}  3.71317
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5865136{col 31}{space 2} .1340483{col 59}{space 4} .3243654{col 72}{space 3} .8073566
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *Media bias --> seat
. xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda16_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-205.19781}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.50605}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.35681}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.35665}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-174.35665}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.35665
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-169.94491
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-166.11031
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-162.73222
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-159.74952
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.15205
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-154.98988
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-153.41436
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.87322

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-153.49804}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-148.56842}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-148.44252}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-148.44202}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-148.44202}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       299
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        86

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.5
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    29.29
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-148.44202{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0003

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:86} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}nelda16_summ {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.377479{col 31}{space 2} .5093874{col 42}{space 1}    2.70{col 51}{space 3}0.007{col 59}{space 4} .3790981{col 72}{space 3}  2.37586
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.295815{col 31}{space 2}  .532598{col 42}{space 1}   -2.43{col 51}{space 3}0.015{col 59}{space 4}-2.339688{col 72}{space 3}-.2519425
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.686726{col 31}{space 2}  2.69632{col 42}{space 1}    3.22{col 51}{space 3}0.001{col 59}{space 4} 3.402035{col 72}{space 3} 13.97142
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0308618{col 31}{space 2} .1267953{col 42}{space 1}    0.24{col 51}{space 3}0.808{col 59}{space 4}-.2176525{col 72}{space 3}  .279376
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .8784515{col 31}{space 2} .5547705{col 42}{space 1}    1.58{col 51}{space 3}0.113{col 59}{space 4}-.2088787{col 72}{space 3} 1.965782
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1095275{col 31}{space 2} .0879489{col 42}{space 1}   -1.25{col 51}{space 3}0.213{col 59}{space 4}-.2819042{col 72}{space 3} .0628491
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .006699{col 31}{space 2} .0027669{col 42}{space 1}    2.42{col 51}{space 3}0.015{col 59}{space 4} .0012759{col 72}{space 3} .0121221
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000643{col 31}{space 2}  .000023{col 42}{space 1}   -2.80{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4}-.0001094{col 72}{space 3}-.0000192
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.790468{col 31}{space 2} 3.955693{col 42}{space 1}    2.22{col 51}{space 3}0.026{col 59}{space 4} 1.037452{col 72}{space 3} 16.54348
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.673973{col 31}{space 2} .4269672{col 59}{space 4} .8371326{col 72}{space 3} 2.510813
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.309397{col 31}{space 2} .4930185{col 59}{space 4} 1.519781{col 72}{space 3} 3.509265
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6184857{col 31}{space 2} .1007477{col 59}{space 4} .4124819{col 72}{space 3}  .789176
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *opp prevented --> vote
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.10966}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-159.18723}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-159.07589}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-159.07583}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-159.07583}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-159.07583
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-155.51829
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.60164
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-150.12501
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-147.99896
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-146.19896
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.75596
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.75158
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-143.43083

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-143.79014}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.91787}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.80325}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.80252}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-139.80251}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       255
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.6
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}     9.94
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-139.80251{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.2696

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}nelda13_summ {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .313187{col 31}{space 2} .4926599{col 42}{space 1}    0.64{col 51}{space 3}0.525{col 59}{space 4}-.6524086{col 72}{space 3} 1.278783
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7709807{col 31}{space 2}  .585103{col 42}{space 1}   -1.32{col 51}{space 3}0.188{col 59}{space 4}-1.917761{col 72}{space 3}    .3758
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 9.314939{col 31}{space 2} 3.232168{col 42}{space 1}    2.88{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 2.980006{col 72}{space 3} 15.64987
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0557753{col 31}{space 2} .1352634{col 42}{space 1}    0.41{col 51}{space 3}0.680{col 59}{space 4} -.209336{col 72}{space 3} .3208867
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6211389{col 31}{space 2} .6633136{col 42}{space 1}   -0.94{col 51}{space 3}0.349{col 59}{space 4} -1.92121{col 72}{space 3} .6789319
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0057591{col 31}{space 2} .0977961{col 42}{space 1}   -0.06{col 51}{space 3}0.953{col 59}{space 4}-.1974359{col 72}{space 3} .1859178
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0015304{col 31}{space 2} .0033675{col 42}{space 1}    0.45{col 51}{space 3}0.650{col 59}{space 4}-.0050698{col 72}{space 3} .0081306
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  -.00002{col 31}{space 2} .0000314{col 42}{space 1}   -0.64{col 51}{space 3}0.525{col 59}{space 4}-.0000815{col 72}{space 3} .0000416
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 4.654186{col 31}{space 2} 4.504335{col 42}{space 1}    1.03{col 51}{space 3}0.301{col 59}{space 4}-4.174149{col 72}{space 3} 13.48252
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.612769{col 31}{space 2} .5275369{col 59}{space 4} .5788155{col 72}{space 3} 2.646722
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.239795{col 31}{space 2} .5907873{col 59}{space 4} 1.335636{col 72}{space 3} 3.756024
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6039429{col 31}{space 2} .1261846{col 59}{space 4} .3515958{col 72}{space 3} .8109009
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *opp prevented --> seat
. xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 nelda13_summ LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -207.6319}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-179.45702}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-179.33613}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-179.33603}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-179.33603}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-179.33603
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-174.84772
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-170.90847
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-167.41058
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -164.2937
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-161.54374
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-159.20344
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.41218
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-156.58408

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-157.48187}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-152.65712}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-152.44997}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-152.44874}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-152.44874}  (backed up)
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       302
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        85

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.6
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    28.75
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-152.44874{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0004

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:85} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}nelda13_summ {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1103802{col 31}{space 2} .5169655{col 42}{space 1}   -0.21{col 51}{space 3}0.831{col 59}{space 4}-1.123614{col 72}{space 3} .9028536
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.258067{col 31}{space 2} .5229453{col 42}{space 1}   -2.41{col 51}{space 3}0.016{col 59}{space 4}-2.283021{col 72}{space 3}-.2331133
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 10.07507{col 31}{space 2} 2.671334{col 42}{space 1}    3.77{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} 4.839352{col 72}{space 3} 15.31079
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0922241{col 31}{space 2} .1269143{col 42}{space 1}    0.73{col 51}{space 3}0.467{col 59}{space 4}-.1565233{col 72}{space 3} .3409716
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.016877{col 31}{space 2} .5851568{col 42}{space 1}    1.74{col 51}{space 3}0.082{col 59}{space 4}-.1300093{col 72}{space 3} 2.163763
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.1094897{col 31}{space 2} .0858525{col 42}{space 1}   -1.28{col 51}{space 3}0.202{col 59}{space 4}-.2777575{col 72}{space 3} .0587782
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0064755{col 31}{space 2} .0027908{col 42}{space 1}    2.32{col 51}{space 3}0.020{col 59}{space 4} .0010056{col 72}{space 3} .0119453
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000626{col 31}{space 2} .0000233{col 42}{space 1}   -2.69{col 51}{space 3}0.007{col 59}{space 4}-.0001083{col 72}{space 3} -.000017
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 9.033515{col 31}{space 2} 4.001109{col 42}{space 1}    2.26{col 51}{space 3}0.024{col 59}{space 4} 1.191485{col 72}{space 3} 16.87554
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.762186{col 31}{space 2} .4374948{col 59}{space 4}  .904712{col 72}{space 3}  2.61966
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.413536{col 31}{space 2} .5279549{col 59}{space 4} 1.572012{col 72}{space 3} 3.705544
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .639072{col 31}{space 2} .1009121{col 59}{space 4} .4289502{col 72}{space 3} .8067163
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *votin irreg --> vote
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-186.37414}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-175.10679}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-175.04996}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-175.04995}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-175.04995
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-170.25405
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-166.28309
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-162.87426
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-159.89701
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.29707
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-155.08095
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-153.29291
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.03635

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-153.35073}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-147.03927}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-146.64398}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-146.63299}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-146.63299}  (backed up)
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       274
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        72

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    11.77
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-146.63299{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.1618

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:72} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8v2elirreg {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5445407{col 31}{space 2} .3517579{col 42}{space 1}   -1.55{col 51}{space 3}0.122{col 59}{space 4}-1.233974{col 72}{space 3}  .144892
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.460835{col 31}{space 2} .6047668{col 42}{space 1}   -0.76{col 51}{space 3}0.446{col 59}{space 4}-1.646156{col 72}{space 3} .7244861
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 7.973631{col 31}{space 2} 2.905646{col 42}{space 1}    2.74{col 51}{space 3}0.006{col 59}{space 4}  2.27867{col 72}{space 3} 13.66859
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0516891{col 31}{space 2} .1360523{col 42}{space 1}   -0.38{col 51}{space 3}0.704{col 59}{space 4}-.3183467{col 72}{space 3} .2149686
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.8641897{col 31}{space 2} .7612474{col 42}{space 1}   -1.14{col 51}{space 3}0.256{col 59}{space 4}-2.356207{col 72}{space 3} .6278279
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0371081{col 31}{space 2} .0924254{col 42}{space 1}   -0.40{col 51}{space 3}0.688{col 59}{space 4}-.2182586{col 72}{space 3} .1440423
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0020786{col 31}{space 2} .0031446{col 42}{space 1}    0.66{col 51}{space 3}0.509{col 59}{space 4}-.0040847{col 72}{space 3} .0082418
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000228{col 31}{space 2} .0000295{col 42}{space 1}   -0.77{col 51}{space 3}0.440{col 59}{space 4}-.0000805{col 72}{space 3}  .000035
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.277196{col 31}{space 2} 4.760701{col 42}{space 1}    0.48{col 51}{space 3}0.632{col 59}{space 4}-7.053607{col 72}{space 3}   11.608
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.003392{col 31}{space 2} .5153156{col 59}{space 4}  .993392{col 72}{space 3} 3.013392
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.722896{col 31}{space 2} .7015755{col 59}{space 4} 1.643283{col 72}{space 3}   4.5118
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6926515{col 31}{space 2} .1097032{col 59}{space 4} .4507959{col 72}{space 3} .8608712
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *votin irreg --> seat
. xtlogit  v8lagpartseat60 v8v2elirreg LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-231.97228}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-207.38243}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-207.34469}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-207.34469}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-207.34469
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-201.69164
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-196.91532
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-192.82013
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -189.2953
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-186.30348
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.88453
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -182.1914
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-181.70615

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-182.31676}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.07912}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.05873}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-177.05872}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       337
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        89

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    28.22
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-177.05872{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0004

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:89} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8v2elirreg {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5000792{col 31}{space 2} .2773324{col 42}{space 1}   -1.80{col 51}{space 3}0.071{col 59}{space 4}-1.043641{col 72}{space 3} .0434823
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7734519{col 31}{space 2} .4295384{col 42}{space 1}   -1.80{col 51}{space 3}0.072{col 59}{space 4}-1.615332{col 72}{space 3} .0684279
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.759483{col 31}{space 2} 2.029901{col 42}{space 1}    2.84{col 51}{space 3}0.005{col 59}{space 4} 1.780951{col 72}{space 3} 9.738014
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0027359{col 31}{space 2} .1011995{col 42}{space 1}   -0.03{col 51}{space 3}0.978{col 59}{space 4}-.2010832{col 72}{space 3} .1956114
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .4867394{col 31}{space 2} .4796216{col 42}{space 1}    1.01{col 51}{space 3}0.310{col 59}{space 4}-.4533017{col 72}{space 3} 1.426781
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0404965{col 31}{space 2} .0773685{col 42}{space 1}   -0.52{col 51}{space 3}0.601{col 59}{space 4}-.1921359{col 72}{space 3} .1111429
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0042333{col 31}{space 2} .0024533{col 42}{space 1}    1.73{col 51}{space 3}0.084{col 59}{space 4}-.0005752{col 72}{space 3} .0090417
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000458{col 31}{space 2} .0000198{col 42}{space 1}   -2.31{col 51}{space 3}0.021{col 59}{space 4}-.0000845{col 72}{space 3}-6.98e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 4.787648{col 31}{space 2} 3.254003{col 42}{space 1}    1.47{col 51}{space 3}0.141{col 59}{space 4}-1.590081{col 72}{space 3} 11.16538
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.514394{col 31}{space 2} .4216138{col 59}{space 4} .6880458{col 72}{space 3} 2.340742
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.132291{col 31}{space 2} .4495016{col 59}{space 4} 1.410611{col 72}{space 3} 3.223188
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5801883{col 31}{space 2} .1026924{col 59}{space 4} .3768825{col 72}{space 3} .7594916
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *domestic mon restricted --> vote
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -182.1351}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-169.85246}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -169.7894}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-169.78939}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-169.78939
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-165.14309
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-161.20353
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.78198
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-154.77534
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-152.13988
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-149.88256
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-148.06272
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-146.93141

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-148.15022}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-141.33768}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -140.7481}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.72642}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.72642}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.72639}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.72639}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       268
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        69

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.9
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    15.10
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-140.72639{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0573

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:69} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}v8v2eldommon {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-2.248042{col 31}{space 2} 1.044391{col 42}{space 1}   -2.15{col 51}{space 3}0.031{col 59}{space 4} -4.29501{col 72}{space 3}-.2010729
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.5531393{col 31}{space 2} .6139824{col 42}{space 1}   -0.90{col 51}{space 3}0.368{col 59}{space 4}-1.756523{col 72}{space 3} .6502442
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.782314{col 31}{space 2} 2.873561{col 42}{space 1}    3.06{col 51}{space 3}0.002{col 59}{space 4} 3.150239{col 72}{space 3} 14.41439
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0107498{col 31}{space 2} .1376774{col 42}{space 1}   -0.08{col 51}{space 3}0.938{col 59}{space 4}-.2805924{col 72}{space 3} .2590929
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.6181433{col 31}{space 2} .7570251{col 42}{space 1}   -0.82{col 51}{space 3}0.414{col 59}{space 4}-2.101885{col 72}{space 3} .8655987
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0212002{col 31}{space 2} .0917207{col 42}{space 1}   -0.23{col 51}{space 3}0.817{col 59}{space 4}-.2009694{col 72}{space 3} .1585691
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0013179{col 31}{space 2} .0029563{col 42}{space 1}    0.45{col 51}{space 3}0.656{col 59}{space 4}-.0044763{col 72}{space 3} .0071121
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000145{col 31}{space 2} .0000272{col 42}{space 1}   -0.53{col 51}{space 3}0.594{col 59}{space 4}-.0000678{col 72}{space 3} .0000388
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}    4.841{col 31}{space 2} 4.840668{col 42}{space 1}    1.00{col 51}{space 3}0.317{col 59}{space 4}-4.646535{col 72}{space 3} 14.32854
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.166779{col 31}{space 2} .5369954{col 59}{space 4} 1.114288{col 72}{space 3} 3.219271
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.954678{col 31}{space 2} .7933241{col 59}{space 4} 1.745679{col 72}{space 3} 5.000987
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7263002{col 31}{space 2} .1067483{col 59}{space 4} .4808694{col 72}{space 3} .8837492
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *domestic mon restricted --> seat
. xtlogit v8lagpartseat60 v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-225.70254}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-204.13867}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -204.1176}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -204.1176}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res} -204.1176
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-198.48152
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-193.73491
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-189.67483
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-186.18374
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-183.21846
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-180.81231
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-179.10603
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-178.54615

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-179.23543}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.71901}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.68284}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-173.68281}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -173.6828}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       327
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        88

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.7
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        19

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    30.66
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res} -173.6828{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0002

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:88} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}  v8lagpartseat60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}v8v2eldommon {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.264152{col 31}{space 2} .7111554{col 42}{space 1}   -1.78{col 51}{space 3}0.075{col 59}{space 4} -2.65799{col 72}{space 3} .1296874
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.9099321{col 31}{space 2} .4517256{col 42}{space 1}   -2.01{col 51}{space 3}0.044{col 59}{space 4}-1.795298{col 72}{space 3}-.0245662
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 5.601252{col 31}{space 2} 1.954321{col 42}{space 1}    2.87{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 1.770852{col 72}{space 3} 9.431652
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0586887{col 31}{space 2} .1105705{col 42}{space 1}    0.53{col 51}{space 3}0.596{col 59}{space 4}-.1580256{col 72}{space 3}  .275403
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .5589778{col 31}{space 2} .4871306{col 42}{space 1}    1.15{col 51}{space 3}0.251{col 59}{space 4}-.3957807{col 72}{space 3} 1.513736
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0390845{col 31}{space 2}   .08036{col 42}{space 1}   -0.49{col 51}{space 3}0.627{col 59}{space 4}-.1965871{col 72}{space 3} .1184182
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0040534{col 31}{space 2} .0024501{col 42}{space 1}    1.65{col 51}{space 3}0.098{col 59}{space 4}-.0007486{col 72}{space 3} .0088555
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000435{col 31}{space 2} .0000194{col 42}{space 1}   -2.24{col 51}{space 3}0.025{col 59}{space 4}-.0000816{col 72}{space 3}-5.48e-06
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  7.12476{col 31}{space 2} 3.572904{col 42}{space 1}    1.99{col 51}{space 3}0.046{col 59}{space 4} .1219976{col 72}{space 3} 14.12752
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.600065{col 31}{space 2} .4247465{col 59}{space 4} .7675774{col 72}{space 3} 2.432553
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.225614{col 31}{space 2} .4726608{col 59}{space 4} 1.467835{col 72}{space 3} 3.374599
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .6009003{col 31}{space 2} .1018623{col 59}{space 4} .3957345{col 72}{space 3} .7758608
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *Table K: mediation analysis vote60, all mechanisms at once
. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-183.21204}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.19936}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.09976}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.09973}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-168.09973}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-168.09973
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-163.81351
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-160.18299
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-157.02524
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-154.24879
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-151.81868
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-149.74657
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-148.10897
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-147.26912

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -148.2203}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-141.41446}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.78344}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.76175}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -140.7617}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.76165}  
Iteration 6:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-140.76165}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       270
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        71

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.8
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    13.83
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-140.76165{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.0862

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:71} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1629926{col 31}{space 2} .0736411{col 42}{space 1}    2.21{col 51}{space 3}0.027{col 59}{space 4} .0186586{col 72}{space 3} .3073265
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.8302924{col 31}{space 2} .6333472{col 42}{space 1}   -1.31{col 51}{space 3}0.190{col 59}{space 4} -2.07163{col 72}{space 3} .4110454
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 8.894722{col 31}{space 2} 3.080809{col 42}{space 1}    2.89{col 51}{space 3}0.004{col 59}{space 4} 2.856447{col 72}{space 3}   14.933
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0372299{col 31}{space 2} .1507998{col 42}{space 1}    0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.805{col 59}{space 4}-.2583323{col 72}{space 3} .3327922
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -1.06592{col 31}{space 2} .7508245{col 42}{space 1}   -1.42{col 51}{space 3}0.156{col 59}{space 4}-2.537509{col 72}{space 3} .4056687
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0383511{col 31}{space 2} .0986107{col 42}{space 1}   -0.39{col 51}{space 3}0.697{col 59}{space 4}-.2316245{col 72}{space 3} .1549224
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0018849{col 31}{space 2} .0032353{col 42}{space 1}    0.58{col 51}{space 3}0.560{col 59}{space 4}-.0044561{col 72}{space 3} .0082259
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000214{col 31}{space 2} .0000304{col 42}{space 1}   -0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.480{col 59}{space 4}-.0000809{col 72}{space 3} .0000381
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-9.429077{col 31}{space 2} 7.978093{col 42}{space 1}   -1.18{col 51}{space 3}0.237{col 59}{space 4}-25.06585{col 72}{space 3} 6.207697
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  2.20647{col 31}{space 2} .5699047{col 59}{space 4} 1.089477{col 72}{space 3} 3.323463
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 3.013901{col 31}{space 2} .8588181{col 59}{space 4} 1.724158{col 72}{space 3} 5.268425
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7341191{col 31}{space 2} .1112387{col 59}{space 4} .4746792{col 72}{space 3} .8940331
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav nelda16_summ nelda13_summ v8v2elirreg v8v2eldommon  LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)

{txt}Fitting comparison model:

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -163.5439}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.92847}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.72472}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.72439}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-144.72439}  
{res}
{txt}Fitting full model:

tau = {res} 0.0     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-144.72439
{txt}tau = {res} 0.1     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-141.57969
{txt}tau = {res} 0.2     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-138.90091
{txt}tau = {res} 0.3     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-136.60118
{txt}tau = {res} 0.4     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-134.64002
{txt}tau = {res} 0.5     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-133.01502
{txt}tau = {res} 0.6     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-131.76666
{txt}tau = {res} 0.7     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-131.01727
{txt}tau = {res} 0.8     {txt}log pseudolikelihood = {res}-131.26851

{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-131.13328}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-125.15271}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.83864}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.83508}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.83508}  
Iteration 5:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-124.83507}  
{res}
{txt}Calculating robust standard errors:

Random-effects logistic regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       241
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{col 49}{txt}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        67

{txt}Random effects u_i ~ {res}Gaussian{txt}{col 49}Obs per group:
{col 63}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}{col 63}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.6
{txt}{col 63}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}        18

{txt}Integration method: {res}mvaghermite{txt}{col 49}Integration pts.{col 67}={col 70}{res}       12

{txt}{col 49}Wald chi2({res}12{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}    12.94
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood  = {res}-124.83507{col 49}{txt}Prob > chi2{col 67}={res}{col 73}0.3731

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:67} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}      v8lgparty60{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .124942{col 31}{space 2} .0696417{col 42}{space 1}    1.79{col 51}{space 3}0.073{col 59}{space 4}-.0115532{col 72}{space 3} .2614371
{txt}{space 5}nelda16_summ {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .7815717{col 31}{space 2} .6706858{col 42}{space 1}    1.17{col 51}{space 3}0.244{col 59}{space 4}-.5329483{col 72}{space 3} 2.096092
{txt}{space 5}nelda13_summ {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.3590907{col 31}{space 2} .5078097{col 42}{space 1}   -0.71{col 51}{space 3}0.479{col 59}{space 4}-1.354379{col 72}{space 3} .6361981
{txt}{space 6}v8v2elirreg {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.135828{col 31}{space 2} .3930997{col 42}{space 1}   -0.35{col 51}{space 3}0.730{col 59}{space 4}-.9062893{col 72}{space 3} .6346334
{txt}{space 5}v8v2eldommon {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.706351{col 31}{space 2} 1.137416{col 42}{space 1}   -1.50{col 51}{space 3}0.134{col 59}{space 4}-3.935645{col 72}{space 3} .5229438
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.7243226{col 31}{space 2} .7077651{col 42}{space 1}   -1.02{col 51}{space 3}0.306{col 59}{space 4}-2.111517{col 72}{space 3} .6628715
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 9.985765{col 31}{space 2} 3.745995{col 42}{space 1}    2.67{col 51}{space 3}0.008{col 59}{space 4}  2.64375{col 72}{space 3} 17.32778
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0028137{col 31}{space 2} .1552666{col 42}{space 1}   -0.02{col 51}{space 3}0.986{col 59}{space 4}-.3071307{col 72}{space 3} .3015033
{txt}{space 8}majoritar {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.644971{col 31}{space 2} .7409693{col 42}{space 1}   -0.87{col 51}{space 3}0.384{col 59}{space 4}-2.097244{col 72}{space 3} .8073021
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0257077{col 31}{space 2} .1046619{col 42}{space 1}   -0.25{col 51}{space 3}0.806{col 59}{space 4}-.2308412{col 72}{space 3} .1794259
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .0013273{col 31}{space 2} .0031278{col 42}{space 1}    0.42{col 51}{space 3}0.671{col 59}{space 4} -.004803{col 72}{space 3} .0074576
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000134{col 31}{space 2} .0000284{col 42}{space 1}   -0.47{col 51}{space 3}0.636{col 59}{space 4} -.000069{col 72}{space 3} .0000422
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-6.023849{col 31}{space 2} 8.207613{col 42}{space 1}   -0.73{col 51}{space 3}0.463{col 59}{space 4}-22.11048{col 72}{space 3} 10.06278
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}/lnsig2u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 1.997656{col 31}{space 2}  .647705{col 59}{space 4} .7281775{col 72}{space 3} 3.267134
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.715098{col 31}{space 2} .8792911{col 59}{space 4} 1.439202{col 72}{space 3} 5.122113
{txt}              rho {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}  .691429{col 31}{space 2} .1381911{col 59}{space 4} .3863526{col 72}{space 3} .8885769
{txt}{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. *pred prob
. *without mediators
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=57) 
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0250814{col 26}{space 2} .0322179{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-.0380644{col 67}{space 3} .0882273
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=100) 
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       270
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4751748{col 26}{space 2} .0656384{col 37}{space 1}    7.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3465258{col 67}{space 3} .6038237
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}    27.77{col 38}{space 2}   0.0000
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4500934{col 26}{space 2} .0854155{col 37}{space 5} .3095974{col 51}{space 3} .5905893
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *with mediators
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav nelda16_summ nelda13_summ v8v2elirreg v8v2eldommon  LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=57) 
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       241
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0533666{col 26}{space 2} .0656292{col 37}{space 1}    0.81{col 46}{space 3}0.416{col 54}{space 4}-.0752643{col 67}{space 3} .1819976
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=100) 
{res}
{txt}Predictive margins{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       241
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4585037{col 26}{space 2} .0674545{col 37}{space 1}    6.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3262954{col 67}{space 3}  .590712
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. *Comparing predicted prob for x at min and max
. quietly xtlogit v8lgparty60 v8terr3yearav nelda16_summ nelda13_summ v8v2elirreg v8v2eldommon LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas majoritar gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{txt}
{com}. margins, at(v8terr3yearav=(57 100)) contrast (atcontrast(r)) level(90)
{res}
{txt}Contrasts of predictive margins
Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(v8lgparty60=1), predict(pr)}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 9}57}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:v8terr3yea~v}{space 4}{txt:=} {space 8}100}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{col 14}{text}{c |}         df{col 26}        chi2{col 38}     P>chi2
{res}{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{space 9}_at {res}{col 14}{text}{c |}{result}{space 2}        1{col 26}{space 3}    12.50{col 38}{space 2}   0.0004
{col 1}{text}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 12}{hline 11}
{res}
{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}   Contrast{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}     [90% Con{col 51}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 3}(2 vs 1)  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4051371{col 26}{space 2} .1145971{col 37}{space 5} .2166416{col 51}{space 3} .5936326
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 14}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. *Table M: overt manip, alternative violence measure
. xtreg sr13viol v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       208
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        69

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.0457                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.3870                                         {txt}avg = {res}       3.0
{txt}     overall = {res}0.3320                                         {txt}max = {res}         8

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}7{txt})      =  {res}    95.34
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:69} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}         sr13viol{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0610582{col 31}{space 2}  .010743{col 42}{space 1}   -5.68{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} -.082114{col 72}{space 3}-.0400024
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0136201{col 31}{space 2} .1262726{col 42}{space 1}   -0.11{col 51}{space 3}0.914{col 59}{space 4}-.2611099{col 72}{space 3} .2338697
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4138907{col 31}{space 2} .7551961{col 42}{space 1}   -0.55{col 51}{space 3}0.584{col 59}{space 4}-1.894048{col 72}{space 3} 1.066267
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0427945{col 31}{space 2} .0333194{col 42}{space 1}   -1.28{col 51}{space 3}0.199{col 59}{space 4}-.1080993{col 72}{space 3} .0225103
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0235939{col 31}{space 2} .0317085{col 42}{space 1}   -0.74{col 51}{space 3}0.457{col 59}{space 4}-.0857414{col 72}{space 3} .0385537
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0001087{col 31}{space 2} .0010194{col 42}{space 1}   -0.11{col 51}{space 3}0.915{col 59}{space 4}-.0021065{col 72}{space 3} .0018892
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.12e-06{col 31}{space 2} 8.28e-06{col 42}{space 1}    0.74{col 51}{space 3}0.460{col 59}{space 4}-.0000101{col 72}{space 3} .0000224
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 7.317218{col 31}{space 2} 1.343086{col 42}{space 1}    5.45{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} 4.684817{col 72}{space 3} 9.949618
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} .52939849
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .92941672
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .24496819{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. xtreg sr13viol v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas gwf_party Agwfnelda_firstelec gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       208
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        69

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.0488                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.3974                                         {txt}avg = {res}       3.0
{txt}     overall = {res}0.3333                                         {txt}max = {res}         8

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}9{txt})      =  {res}    96.24
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 85:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:69} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 20}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 21}{c |}{col 33}    Robust
{col 1}           sr13viol{col 21}{c |}      Coef.{col 33}   Std. Err.{col 45}      z{col 53}   P>|z|{col 61}     [95% Con{col 74}f. Interval]
{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 6}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0613785{col 33}{space 2} .0111419{col 44}{space 1}   -5.51{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4}-.0832163{col 74}{space 3}-.0395408
{txt}{space 13}LAGGDP {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0051033{col 33}{space 2} .1371203{col 44}{space 1}   -0.04{col 53}{space 3}0.970{col 61}{space 4}-.2738542{col 74}{space 3} .2636476
{txt}{space 10}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.3757307{col 33}{space 2} .7362055{col 44}{space 1}   -0.51{col 53}{space 3}0.610{col 61}{space 4}-1.818667{col 74}{space 3} 1.067205
{txt}{space 7}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0435299{col 33}{space 2} .0338635{col 44}{space 1}   -1.29{col 53}{space 3}0.199{col 61}{space 4}-.1099012{col 74}{space 3} .0228414
{txt}{space 10}gwf_party {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}  .108603{col 33}{space 2} .2078332{col 44}{space 1}    0.52{col 53}{space 3}0.601{col 61}{space 4}-.2987425{col 74}{space 3} .5159485
{txt}Agwfnelda_firstelec {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} .1476224{col 33}{space 2} .2084484{col 44}{space 1}    0.71{col 53}{space 3}0.479{col 61}{space 4} -.260929{col 74}{space 3} .5561738
{txt}{space 7}gwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2}-.0161958{col 33}{space 2} .0427922{col 44}{space 1}   -0.38{col 53}{space 3}0.705{col 61}{space 4} -.100067{col 74}{space 3} .0676753
{txt}{space 5}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} -.000342{col 33}{space 2}  .001248{col 44}{space 1}   -0.27{col 53}{space 3}0.784{col 61}{space 4} -.002788{col 74}{space 3} .0021039
{txt}{space 2}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.93e-06{col 33}{space 2} 9.74e-06{col 44}{space 1}    0.81{col 53}{space 3}0.415{col 61}{space 4}-.0000112{col 74}{space 3}  .000027
{txt}{space 14}_cons {c |}{col 21}{res}{space 2} 7.135058{col 33}{space 2} 1.414499{col 44}{space 1}    5.04{col 53}{space 3}0.000{col 61}{space 4} 4.362691{col 74}{space 3} 9.907424
{txt}{hline 20}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
            sigma_u {c |} {res} .54484765
            {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .92420917
                {txt}rho {c |} {res} .25790912{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 20}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. xtreg sr13viol v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas e_Civil_War gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, vce(cluster gwno)
{res}
{txt}Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     = {res}       208
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno                            {txt}Number of groups  = {res}        69

{txt}R-sq:                                           Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.0445                                         {txt}min = {res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.4064                                         {txt}avg = {res}       3.0
{txt}     overall = {res}0.3523                                         {txt}max = {res}         8

                                                {txt}Wald chi2({res}8{txt})      =  {res}   130.53
{txt}corr(u_i, X)   = {res}0{txt} (assumed)                    Prob > chi2       =     {res}0.0000

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:69} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}         sr13viol{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      z{col 51}   P>|z|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0528477{col 31}{space 2} .0132349{col 42}{space 1}   -3.99{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4}-.0787876{col 72}{space 3}-.0269078
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0434471{col 31}{space 2} .1249305{col 42}{space 1}   -0.35{col 51}{space 3}0.728{col 59}{space 4}-.2883064{col 72}{space 3} .2014122
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.4714489{col 31}{space 2} .7559148{col 42}{space 1}   -0.62{col 51}{space 3}0.533{col 59}{space 4}-1.953015{col 72}{space 3} 1.010117
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0403128{col 31}{space 2} .0319334{col 42}{space 1}   -1.26{col 51}{space 3}0.207{col 59}{space 4}-.1029012{col 72}{space 3} .0222756
{txt}{space 6}e_Civil_War {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .4845523{col 31}{space 2}  .258274{col 42}{space 1}    1.88{col 51}{space 3}0.061{col 59}{space 4}-.0216554{col 72}{space 3}   .99076
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.013254{col 31}{space 2} .0323262{col 42}{space 1}   -0.41{col 51}{space 3}0.682{col 59}{space 4}-.0766121{col 72}{space 3} .0501042
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0003506{col 31}{space 2} .0010285{col 42}{space 1}   -0.34{col 51}{space 3}0.733{col 59}{space 4}-.0023665{col 72}{space 3} .0016653
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 7.81e-06{col 31}{space 2} 8.29e-06{col 42}{space 1}    0.94{col 51}{space 3}0.346{col 59}{space 4}-8.43e-06{col 72}{space 3} .0000241
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 6.664645{col 31}{space 2}  1.46519{col 42}{space 1}    4.55{col 51}{space 3}0.000{col 59}{space 4} 3.792925{col 72}{space 3} 9.536365
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} .51149535
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .93233367
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .23134991{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. xtreg sr13viol v8terr3yearav LAGGDP LAGgrowth LAGLogOilGas  gwf_duration SqGwf_duration CubedGwf_duration if MulParElec4617==1, fe vce (cluster gwno) 
{res}
{txt}Fixed-effects (within) regression{col 49}Number of obs{col 67}={col 69}{res}       208
{txt}Group variable: {res}gwno{txt}{col 49}Number of groups{col 67}={col 69}{res}        69

{txt}R-sq:{col 49}Obs per group:
     within  = {res}0.0683{col 63}{txt}min{col 67}={col 69}{res}         1
{txt}     between = {res}0.1482{col 63}{txt}avg{col 67}={col 69}{res}       3.0
{txt}     overall = {res}0.1466{col 63}{txt}max{col 67}={col 69}{res}         8

{txt}{col 49}F({res}7{txt},{res}68{txt}){col 67}={col 70}{res}     3.24
{txt}corr(u_i, Xb){col 16}= {res}-0.0562{txt}{col 49}Prob > F{col 67}={col 73}{res}0.0050

{txt}{ralign 83:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:69} clusters in gwno)}
{hline 18}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 19}{c |}{col 31}    Robust
{col 1}         sr13viol{col 19}{c |}      Coef.{col 31}   Std. Err.{col 43}      t{col 51}   P>|t|{col 59}     [95% Con{col 72}f. Interval]
{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}v8terr3yearav {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} -.026248{col 31}{space 2} .0268397{col 42}{space 1}   -0.98{col 51}{space 3}0.332{col 59}{space 4}-.0798057{col 72}{space 3} .0273098
{txt}{space 11}LAGGDP {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} .1470201{col 31}{space 2} .5548285{col 42}{space 1}    0.26{col 51}{space 3}0.792{col 59}{space 4} -.960123{col 72}{space 3} 1.254163
{txt}{space 8}LAGgrowth {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-1.388271{col 31}{space 2} .8508599{col 42}{space 1}   -1.63{col 51}{space 3}0.107{col 59}{space 4}-3.086135{col 72}{space 3} .3095935
{txt}{space 5}LAGLogOilGas {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0171452{col 31}{space 2} .0431757{col 42}{space 1}   -0.40{col 51}{space 3}0.693{col 59}{space 4} -.103301{col 72}{space 3} .0690106
{txt}{space 5}gwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0202613{col 31}{space 2} .0460271{col 42}{space 1}   -0.44{col 51}{space 3}0.661{col 59}{space 4} -.112107{col 72}{space 3} .0715845
{txt}{space 3}SqGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2}-.0000839{col 31}{space 2} .0015711{col 42}{space 1}   -0.05{col 51}{space 3}0.958{col 59}{space 4}-.0032189{col 72}{space 3} .0030511
{txt}CubedGwf_duration {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 7.47e-06{col 31}{space 2} .0000121{col 42}{space 1}    0.62{col 51}{space 3}0.539{col 59}{space 4}-.0000167{col 72}{space 3} .0000316
{txt}{space 12}_cons {c |}{col 19}{res}{space 2} 2.629776{col 31}{space 2} 5.067586{col 42}{space 1}    0.52{col 51}{space 3}0.605{col 59}{space 4}-7.482435{col 72}{space 3} 12.74199
{txt}{hline 18}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
          sigma_u {c |} {res} .98307238
          {txt}sigma_e {c |} {res} .92941672
              {txt}rho {c |} {res} .52803334{txt}   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
{hline 18}{c BT}{hline 64}

{com}. 
. 
. *Table J: cases
. sort country year
{txt}
{com}. br country year if MulParElec4617==1
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *correlation between state terr control and civil war
. *pearsons
. pwcorr v8terr3yearav e_Civil_War if MulParElec4617==1

             {txt}{c |} v8terr~v e_Civi~r
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 18}
v8terr3yea~v {c |} {res}  1.0000 
 {txt}e_Civil_War {c |} {res} -0.3842   1.0000 
{txt}
{com}. codebook e_Civil_War if MulParElec4617==1

{txt}{hline}
{res}e_Civil_War{right:Civil war}
{txt}{hline}

{col 19}type:  numeric ({res}long{txt})

{col 18}range:  [{res}0{txt},{res}1{txt}]{col 55}units:  {res}1
{col 10}{txt}unique values:  {res}2{col 51}{txt}missing .:  {res}128{txt}/{res}521

{txt}{col 13}tabulation:  Freq.  Value
{col 21}{res}       361{col 33}0
{col 21}        32{col 33}1
{col 21}       128{col 33}.
{txt}
{com}. 
{txt}end of do-file

{com}. log off
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}U:\Egne papers\Mechanisms paper\BJPS\Final submission and replication files\Replication data harverad dataverse\Log file, Seeberg MB, 2019, bjps.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}paused on:  {res}14 Jul 2019, 21:11:49
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}